Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

Total Volume

$135.97K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

Vol

$135.97K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $135.97K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $135.97K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 6)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 6)	Kalshi	99%
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 7)	Kalshi	96%
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 8)	Kalshi	94%
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 9)	Kalshi	78%
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 10)	Kalshi	21%
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 11)	Kalshi	5%
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 12)	Kalshi	2%
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 15)	Kalshi	2%
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 14)	Kalshi	2%
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 13)	Kalshi	2%
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 16)	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$135.97K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In Oct 2026 If SpaceX has more than X launches in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many launches will SpaceX have in October?
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In Oct 2026

If SpaceX has more than X launches in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $136.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 9)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $12.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 77.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 8)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $8.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 7)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 6)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 16)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $541
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 15)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 14)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $722
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 13)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $12.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 12)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $19.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 11)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $29.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 10)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $44.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

In Oct 2026 If SpaceX has more than X launches in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume$135.97K

Markets11

11 of 11

Sort:

KALSHI

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 6)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHITech

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 6)

If SpaceX has more than 6 launches in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 7)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHITech

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 7)

If SpaceX has more than 7 launches in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 8)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.5¢No 6.5¢

KALSHITech

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 8)

If SpaceX has more than 8 launches in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 9)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 77.5¢No 22.5¢

KALSHITech

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 9)

If SpaceX has more than 9 launches in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 10)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

KALSHITech

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 10)

If SpaceX has more than 10 launches in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

36¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/1Rz8Hx" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="How many launches will SpaceX have in October?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 6)

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

Markets (11)

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 6)

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 6)

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 7)

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 7)

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 8)

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 8)

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 9)

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 9)

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 10)

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 10)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 6)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 6)

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 6)

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 7)

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 7)

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 8)

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 8)

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 9)

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 9)

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 10)

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 10)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget