Name: United Rugby Championship: Ospreys vs Sharks
End: 2026-04-25T18:45:00.000Z

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United Rugby Championship: Ospreys vs Sharks | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Ospreys win?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ospreys win?	Poly	52%
Will Sharks win?	Poly	49%
Will the match end in a draw?	Poly	8%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, March 29, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** United Rugby Championship: Ospreys vs Sharks
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 25, 2026 (28 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming United Rugby Championship match between Ospreys and Sharks, scheduled for April 18 2026.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 18 2026
If Ospreys wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this ma"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $137
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Ospreys win?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the match end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Sharks win?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

27d 6h remaining

Apr 25, 2026 6:45 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

36¢

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United Rugby Championship: Ospreys vs Sharks

United Rugby Championship: Ospreys vs Sharks

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Will Ospreys win?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

United Rugby Championship: Ospreys vs Sharks

Markets (3)

Will Ospreys win?

Will Ospreys win?

Will Sharks win?

Will Sharks win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

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Will Ospreys win?

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United Rugby Championship: Ospreys vs Sharks

Will Ospreys win?

Will Ospreys win?

Will Sharks win?

Will Sharks win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

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Discussion

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