GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIClimate and Weather

How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will there be more than 4 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will there be more than 4 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?	Kalshi	57%
Will there be more than 5 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?	Kalshi	38%
Will there be more than 6 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?	Kalshi	22%
Will there be more than 7 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?	Kalshi	13%
Will there be more than 8 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?	Kalshi	7%
Will there be more than 9 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?	Kalshi	4%
Will there be more than 10 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will there be more than 12 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will there be more than 15 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

57%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In 2026 If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than X hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
**Category:** Climate and Weather | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than X hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 9 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will there be more than 9  Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will there be more than 8  Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will there be more than 7  Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will there be more than 6  Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will there be more than 5  Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will there be more than 4  Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will there be more than 15  Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will there be more than 12  Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will there be more than 10  Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIClimate and Weather

How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

Volume$0.00

Markets9

9 of 9

Sort:

KALSHI

Will there be more than 4 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 57.0¢No 43.0¢

KALSHIClimate

Will there be more than 4 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 4 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01,

KALSHI

Will there be more than 5 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 38.0¢No 62.0¢

KALSHIClimate

Will there be more than 5 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 5 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01,

KALSHI

Will there be more than 6 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 21.5¢No 78.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will there be more than 6 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 6 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01,

KALSHI

Will there be more than 7 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 13.0¢No 87.0¢

KALSHIClimate

Will there be more than 7 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 7 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01,

KALSHI

Will there be more than 8 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will there be more than 8 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 8 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01,

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

16¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/1UHDUY" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will there be more than 4 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

Markets (9)

Will there be more than 4 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

Will there be more than 4 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

Will there be more than 5 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

Will there be more than 5 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

Will there be more than 6 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

Will there be more than 6 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

Will there be more than 7 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

Will there be more than 7 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

Will there be more than 8 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

Will there be more than 8 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will there be more than 4 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

Will there be more than 4 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

Will there be more than 4 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

Will there be more than 5 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

Will there be more than 5 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

Will there be more than 6 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

Will there be more than 6 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

Will there be more than 7 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

Will there be more than 7 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

Will there be more than 8 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

Will there be more than 8 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget