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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?
Vol

PM $446.7K

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Events

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Markets

1

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is December 31 at 11.5%.

Polymarket

  1. December 3111.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $446.7K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution. Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify . Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiPolitics
US-Iran nuclear deal?

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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
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What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

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Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 14.5%
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+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
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Will Kenya and the US reach a critical minerals deal?

K 2.4K contracts
Will Kenya and the US reach a critical minerals deal before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 41%
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Will Kenya and the US reach a critical minerals deal before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 16.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
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US military action against Cuba by...?

US military action against Cuba by...?

PM $7.62M
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
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Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

PM $828.6K
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1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
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US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?

PM $94.6K
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by December 31?Yes 19.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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