Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026

Name: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026
End: 2026-10-23T14:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$25.55K

Events

Markets

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University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026

Vol

$25.55K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $25.55K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $25.55K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October?	Poly	53%
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?	Poly	42%
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in October?	Poly	2%
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in October?	Poly	1%
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in October?	Poly	1%
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in October?	Poly	1%
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in October?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

53%

Top Probability

$25.55K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for October 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for October 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for October 2026

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 23, 2026 (12 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for October 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for October 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.

The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for October 2026

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for October 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for October 2026, as "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $25.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.8K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 8.99)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $476
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $721
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $9.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $10.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $800
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $528
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETEconomy