Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

3rd largest private company end of October?

Name: 3rd largest private company end of October?
End: 2026-11-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$14.24K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

3rd largest private company end of October?

Vol

$14.24K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $14.24K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $14.24K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?	Poly	94%
Will Databricks have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?	Poly	3%
Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?	Poly	3%
Will Canva have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?	Poly	2%
Will Stripe have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?	Poly	2%
Will Neuralink have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?	Poly	2%
Will Anduril have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?	Poly	2%
Will Revolut have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?	Poly	2%
Will Perplexity have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?	Poly	1%
Will Anthropic have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

Top Probability

$14.24K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the listed company with the third largest private market valuation on the last trading day of October 2026. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the specified date, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the specif

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** 3rd largest private company end of October?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 1, 2026 (21 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to the listed company with the third largest private market valuation on the last trading day of October 2026.

NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.

If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the specified date, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the specif

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the listed company with the third largest private market valuation on the last trading day of October 2026.

NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.

If NPM has not published relevant data for "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $14.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $56.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.25)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Anduril have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $286
  DATA: [Yes: 2.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Anthropic have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $202
  DATA: [Yes: 1.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $12.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Canva have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $232
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Databricks have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $217
  DATA: [Yes: 3.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Neuralink have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $217
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $217
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Perplexity have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $209
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Revolut have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $202
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.1% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Stripe have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $257
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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