Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?

Name: Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?
End: 2026-10-06T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$30.82K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?

Vol

$30.82K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $30.82K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $30.82K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will the PQ win 55-59 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the PQ win 55-59 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Poly	84%
Will the PQ win 60-64 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Poly	15%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

84%

Top Probability

$30.82K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 6, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.

Thi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.0K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 7.03)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the PQ win 55-59 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 6, 2026): Vol $3.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 84.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.7% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the PQ win 60-64 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 6, 2026): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETWorld