Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Strikeouts

Total Volume

$28.33K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Strikeouts

Vol

$28.33K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $28.33K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $28.33K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

14 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Gavin Williams: 4+ strikeouts?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
Gavin Williams: 4+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	89%
Griffin Jax: 2+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	87%
Gavin Williams: 5+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	77%
Griffin Jax: 3+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	73%
Gavin Williams: 6+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	65%
Griffin Jax: 4+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	55%
Gavin Williams: 7+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	47%
Griffin Jax: 5+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	34%
Gavin Williams: 8+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	34%
Griffin Jax: 6+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	20%
Gavin Williams: 9+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	20%
Gavin Williams: 10+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	11%
Griffin Jax: 7+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	10%
Gavin Williams: 11+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

89%

Top Probability

$28.33K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

TB vs CLE (Oct 15) If Griffin Jax records X strikeouts in the Tampa Bay vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Griffin Jax is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Griffin Jax is not a starting pitcher but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, relief appearances will not cou

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, October 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Strikeouts
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** TB vs CLE (Oct 15)

If Griffin Jax records X strikeouts in the Tampa Bay vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Griffin Jax is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Griffin Jax is not a starting pitcher but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, relief appearances will not cou

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Griffin Jax records 7+ strikeouts in the Tampa Bay vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria
If Griffin Jax is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $28.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Griffin Jax: 7+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Griffin Jax: 6+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $486
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Griffin Jax: 5+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $79
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Griffin Jax: 4+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Griffin Jax: 3+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 73.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Griffin Jax: 2+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $21
  DATA: [Yes: 86.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Gavin Williams: 9+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Gavin Williams: 8+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Gavin Williams: 7+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $12.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Gavin Williams: 6+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $415
  DATA: [Yes: 64.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Gavin Williams: 5+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $49
  DATA: [Yes: 77.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Gavin Williams: 4+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Gavin Williams: 11+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Gavin Williams: 10+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Strikeouts

Volume$28.33K

Markets14

14 of 14

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KALSHI

Gavin Williams: 4+ strikeouts?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.0¢No 11.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Gavin Williams: 4+ strikeouts?

If Gavin Williams records 4+ strikeouts in the Tampa Bay vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Gavin Williams is scratched or is not a starting pitc

KALSHI

Griffin Jax: 2+ strikeouts?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 86.5¢No 13.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Griffin Jax: 2+ strikeouts?

If Griffin Jax records 2+ strikeouts in the Tampa Bay vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Griffin Jax is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, t

KALSHI

Gavin Williams: 5+ strikeouts?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 77.0¢No 23.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Gavin Williams: 5+ strikeouts?

If Gavin Williams records 5+ strikeouts in the Tampa Bay vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Gavin Williams is scratched or is not a starting pitc

KALSHI

Griffin Jax: 3+ strikeouts?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 73.0¢No 27.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Griffin Jax: 3+ strikeouts?

If Griffin Jax records 3+ strikeouts in the Tampa Bay vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Griffin Jax is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, t

KALSHI

Gavin Williams: 6+ strikeouts?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 64.5¢No 35.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Gavin Williams: 6+ strikeouts?

If Gavin Williams records 6+ strikeouts in the Tampa Bay vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Gavin Williams is scratched or is not a starting pitc

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Oct 18, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Saved price pairs

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Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Strikeouts

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Gavin Williams: 4+ strikeouts?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Strikeouts

Markets (14)

Gavin Williams: 4+ strikeouts?

Gavin Williams: 4+ strikeouts?

Griffin Jax: 2+ strikeouts?

Griffin Jax: 2+ strikeouts?

Gavin Williams: 5+ strikeouts?

Gavin Williams: 5+ strikeouts?

Griffin Jax: 3+ strikeouts?

Griffin Jax: 3+ strikeouts?

Gavin Williams: 6+ strikeouts?

Gavin Williams: 6+ strikeouts?

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Gavin Williams: 4+ strikeouts?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Strikeouts

Gavin Williams: 4+ strikeouts?

Gavin Williams: 4+ strikeouts?

Griffin Jax: 2+ strikeouts?

Griffin Jax: 2+ strikeouts?

Gavin Williams: 5+ strikeouts?

Gavin Williams: 5+ strikeouts?

Griffin Jax: 3+ strikeouts?

Griffin Jax: 3+ strikeouts?

Gavin Williams: 6+ strikeouts?

Gavin Williams: 6+ strikeouts?

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