Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIMentions

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?

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$14.67K

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What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?

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$14.67K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $14.67K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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Volume DistributionTotal: $14.67K

100%

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25 markets tracked

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Cybercab)

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Single-Platform Markets(25)

Market	Platform	Price
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Cybercab)	Kalshi	98%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Roadster)	Kalshi	96%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Robotaxi)	Kalshi	94%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Semi)	Kalshi	91%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Terafab)	Kalshi	88%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Solar)	Kalshi	87%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (SpaceX / xAI)	Kalshi	86%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation)	Kalshi	85%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Tariff)	Kalshi	70%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (China)	Kalshi	70%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Afford / Affordable)	Kalshi	70%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Competition)	Kalshi	68%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Samsung)	Kalshi	64%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Grok (3+ times))	Kalshi	62%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Megapack 3)	Kalshi	60%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Supercharger / Super Charger)	Kalshi	55%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Intel)	Kalshi	43%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Cybertruck)	Kalshi	41%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Miami)	Kalshi	35%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Waymo)	Kalshi	31%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Safety Monitor)	Kalshi	30%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Gigafactory)	Kalshi	28%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Merge / Merger)	Kalshi	23%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Six-Seater / Six-Seat)	Kalshi	19%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Iran / Middle East)	Kalshi	14%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$14.67K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Oct 28, 2026 If X is said by any Tesla representative, including the operator of the call, during the next Tesla earnings call, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Tesla earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Tesla earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payout criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?
**Category:** Mentions | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Oct 28, 2026

If X is said by any Tesla representative, including the operator of the call, during the next Tesla earnings call, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Tesla earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Tesla earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payout criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Waymo is said by any Tesla representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Tesla earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved
Video of the Tesla earnings call.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached usi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $14.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Waymo)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $154
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Tariff)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 70.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Terafab)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (SpaceX / xAI)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $23
  DATA: [Yes: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Solar)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $168
  DATA: [Yes: 87.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Six-Seater / Six-Seat)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $47
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Semi)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $431
  DATA: [Yes: 91.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Supercharger / Super Charger)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $352
  DATA: [Yes: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Samsung)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Safety Monitor)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Robotaxi)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Roadster)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 85.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Miami)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $33
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Merge / Merger)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $43
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Megapack 3)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 60.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Iran / Middle East)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Intel)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $47
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Grok (3+ times))
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $157
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Gigafactory)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $179
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Cybertruck)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $294
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Cybercab)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $673
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Competition)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $4
  DATA: [Yes: 67.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (China)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 70.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Afford / Affordable)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIMentions

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?

Volume$14.67K

Markets25

25 of 25

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KALSHI

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Cybercab)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHICompanies

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Cybercab)

If Cybercab is said by any Tesla representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Tesla earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Tesla earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached

KALSHI

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Roadster)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHICompanies

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Roadster)

If Roadster is said by any Tesla representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Tesla earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Tesla earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached

KALSHI

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Robotaxi)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.5¢No 6.5¢

KALSHICompanies

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Robotaxi)

If Robotaxi is said by any Tesla representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Tesla earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Tesla earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached

KALSHI

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Semi)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.0¢No 9.0¢

KALSHICompanies

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Semi)

If Semi is said by any Tesla representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Tesla earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Tesla earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached usin

KALSHI

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Terafab)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.0¢No 12.0¢

KALSHICompanies

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Terafab)

If Terafab is said by any Tesla representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Tesla earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Tesla earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached u

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What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?

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What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Cybercab)

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Cybercab)

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Roadster)

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Roadster)

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Robotaxi)

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Robotaxi)

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Semi)

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Semi)

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What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Cybercab)

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What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Cybercab)

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Cybercab)

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Roadster)

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Roadster)

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Robotaxi)

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Robotaxi)

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Semi)

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