Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
100%
Top Probability
$622.31
Volume
40
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
Oct 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT is above X USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 P
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Saved price pairs
0
No exact saved pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.
Volume DistributionTotal: $622.31
100%
Kalshi leads
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
40 markets tracked
Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.
Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.
Will the gold close price be above 4159.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(40)
Market
Platform
Price
Will the gold close price be above 4159.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
100%
Will the gold close price be above 4157.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
100%
Will the gold close price be above 4155.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
100%
Will the gold close price be above 4153.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
100%
Will the gold close price be above 4149.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
100%
Will the gold close price be above 4147.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
100%
Will the gold close price be above 4145.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
100%
Will the gold close price be above 4139.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
100%
Will the gold close price be above 4151.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
99%
Will the gold close price be above 4143.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
99%
Will the gold close price be above 4141.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
99%
Will the gold close price be above 4181.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
99%
Will the gold close price be above 4177.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
99%
Will the gold close price be above 4173.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
99%
Will the gold close price be above 4169.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
99%
Will the gold close price be above 4167.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
99%
Will the gold close price be above 4179.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
98%
Will the gold close price be above 4175.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
98%
Will the gold close price be above 4171.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
98%
Will the gold close price be above 4165.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
98%
Will the gold close price be above 4163.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
98%
Will the gold close price be above 4161.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
98%
Will the gold close price be above 4183.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
95%
Will the gold close price be above 4185.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
85%
Will the gold close price be above 4187.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
63%
Will the gold close price be above 4189.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
30%
Will the gold close price be above 4191.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
10%
Will the gold close price be above 4195.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
5%
Will the gold close price be above 4193.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
3%
Will the gold close price be above 4213.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
2%
Will the gold close price be above 4211.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
2%
Will the gold close price be above 4209.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
2%
Will the gold close price be above 4205.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
2%
Will the gold close price be above 4203.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
2%
Will the gold close price be above 4201.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
2%
Will the gold close price be above 4199.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
2%
Will the gold close price be above 4197.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
2%
Will the gold close price be above 4207.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
2%
Will the gold close price be above 4217.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
Kalshi
1%
Will the gold close price be above 4215.99 USD/ounce on October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET?
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