Will Caroline Ellison launch a coin by January 31? | PredictPedia

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Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

Will Caroline Ellison launch a coin by January 31?

Name: Will Caroline Ellison launch a coin by January 31?
End: 2026-02-01T04:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$12.34K

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Markets

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Will Caroline Ellison launch a coin by January 31?

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Polymarket

markets · $12.34K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $12.34K

100%

Polymarket leads

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1 market tracked

Will Caroline Ellison launch a coin by January 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Caroline Ellison launch a coin by January 31?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$12.34K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caroline Ellison officially launches a token by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Caroline Ellison, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Caroline Ellison launch a coin by January 31?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 1, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caroline Ellison officially launches a token by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Caroline Ellison, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caroline Ellison officially launches a token by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Caroline Ellison, either through posts from official social media channels, or ot"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $12.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $12.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.97)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Caroline Ellison launch a coin by January 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 1, 2026): Vol $12.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

0¢

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Will Caroline Ellison launch a coin by January 31?

Will Caroline Ellison launch a coin by January 31?

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Will Caroline Ellison launch a coin by January 31?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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