Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Chapecoense vs Paranaense: First Half Total

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$0.00

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Chapecoense vs Paranaense: First Half Total

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

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Arbitrage

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Over 0.5 1H goals scored

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Over 0.5 1H goals scored	Kalshi	71%
Over 1.5 1H goals scored	Kalshi	34%
Over 2.5 1H goals scored	Kalshi	12%

AI Analysis

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71%

Top Probability

$0.00

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About This Event

CHA vs CAP (Oct 12) If the total goals scored by Chapecoense and Paranaense is more than X goals in the 1st Half of the Chapecoense vs Paranaense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Chapecoense vs Paranaense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a f

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Chapecoense vs Paranaense: First Half Total
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** CHA vs CAP (Oct 12)

If the total goals scored by Chapecoense and Paranaense is more than X goals in the 1st Half of the Chapecoense vs Paranaense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Chapecoense vs Paranaense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a f

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the total goals scored by Chapecoense and Paranaense  is more than 2.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Chapecoense vs Paranaense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Cha"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Over 2.5 1H goals scored
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Over 1.5 1H goals scored
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Over 0.5 1H goals scored
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 70.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Chapecoense vs Paranaense: First Half Total

Volume$0.00

Markets3

3 of 3

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KALSHI

Over 0.5 1H goals scored

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 70.5¢No 29.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Over 0.5 1H goals scored

If the total goals scored by Chapecoense and Paranaense is more than 0.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Chapecoense vs Paranaense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Cha

KALSHI

Over 1.5 1H goals scored

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 33.5¢No 66.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Over 1.5 1H goals scored

If the total goals scored by Chapecoense and Paranaense is more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Chapecoense vs Paranaense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Cha

KALSHI

Over 2.5 1H goals scored

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Over 2.5 1H goals scored

If the total goals scored by Chapecoense and Paranaense is more than 2.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Chapecoense vs Paranaense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Cha

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Chapecoense vs Paranaense: First Half Total

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Events (1)

Chapecoense vs Paranaense: First Half Total

Markets (3)

Over 0.5 1H goals scored

Over 0.5 1H goals scored

Over 1.5 1H goals scored

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Over 2.5 1H goals scored

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Chapecoense vs Paranaense: First Half Total

Over 0.5 1H goals scored

Over 0.5 1H goals scored

Over 1.5 1H goals scored

Over 1.5 1H goals scored

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