Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Manchester City vs PSG: Spread

Total Volume

$64.00

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Markets

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Manchester City vs PSG: Spread

Vol

$64.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $64.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $64.00

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Manchester City wins by more than 1.5 goals?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Manchester City wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	25%
PSG wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	15%
Manchester City wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	11%
PSG wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	7%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

25%

Top Probability

$64.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

MCI vs PSG (Oct 14) If PSG wins by more than X goals in the Manchester City vs PSG professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market wil

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Manchester City vs PSG: Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** MCI vs PSG (Oct 14)

If PSG wins by more than X goals in the Manchester City vs PSG professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market wil

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If PSG wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Manchester City vs PSG professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated,"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $64
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. PSG wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $48
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. PSG wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Manchester City wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $16
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Manchester City wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Manchester City vs PSG: Spread

Volume$64.00

Markets4

4 of 4

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KALSHI

Manchester City wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.0¢No 75.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Manchester City wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Manchester City wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Manchester City vs PSG professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not

KALSHI

PSG wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.0¢No 85.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

PSG wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If PSG wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Manchester City vs PSG professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated,

KALSHI

Manchester City wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Manchester City wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Manchester City wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Manchester City vs PSG professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not

KALSHI

PSG wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

PSG wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If PSG wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Manchester City vs PSG professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated,

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Average Yes Price

14¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/2-99vv" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Manchester City vs PSG: Spread"></iframe>

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Manchester City vs PSG: Spread

Manchester City vs PSG: Spread

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Manchester City wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Manchester City vs PSG: Spread

Markets (4)

Manchester City wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Manchester City wins by more than 1.5 goals?

PSG wins by more than 1.5 goals?

PSG wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Manchester City wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Manchester City wins by more than 2.5 goals?

PSG wins by more than 2.5 goals?

PSG wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Manchester City wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Manchester City vs PSG: Spread

Manchester City wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Manchester City wins by more than 1.5 goals?

PSG wins by more than 1.5 goals?

PSG wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Manchester City wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Manchester City wins by more than 2.5 goals?

PSG wins by more than 2.5 goals?

PSG wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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