Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner

Name: New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner
End: 2026-11-03T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$27.06K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner

Vol

$27.06K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $27.06K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $27.06K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?	Poly	58%
Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?	Poly	41%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

58%

Top Probability

$27.06K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highes

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 3, 2026 (23 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highes

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specifie"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $27.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $56.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.48)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $10.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $16.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics