Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Bank of America 400 Qualifying Session: Pole Position

Total Volume

$34.63K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Bank of America 400 Qualifying Session: Pole Position

Vol

$34.63K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $34.63K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $34.63K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

39 markets tracked

Cup Series: Chase Briscoe is awarded pole position

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(39)

Market	Platform	Price
Cup Series: Chase Briscoe is awarded pole position	Kalshi	30%
Cup Series: Denny Hamlin is awarded pole position	Kalshi	26%
Cup Series: Kyle Larson is awarded pole position	Kalshi	20%
Cup Series: Tyler Reddick is awarded pole position	Kalshi	8%
Cup Series: Joey Logano is awarded pole position	Kalshi	7%
Cup Series: William Byron is awarded pole position	Kalshi	6%
Cup Series: Ty Gibbs is awarded pole position	Kalshi	5%
Cup Series: Carson Hocevar is awarded pole position	Kalshi	2%
Cup Series: Bubba Wallace is awarded pole position	Kalshi	2%
Cup Series: Zane Smith is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Ty Dillon is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Todd Gilliland is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Shane Van Gisbergen is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Ryan Preece is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Ryan Blaney is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Ross Chastain is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Ricky Stenhouse is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Riley Herbst is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Noah Gragson is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Michael McDowell is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: John H. Nemechek is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Josh Berry is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Gray Gaulding is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Erik Jones is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Daniel Suárez is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Connor Zilisch is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Cody Ware is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Corey Heim is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Cole Custer is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Chase Elliott is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Chris Buescher is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Christopher Bell is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Brad Keselowski is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: B.J. McLeod is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Austin Hill is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Austin Dillon is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Austin Cindric is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: Alex Bowman is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%
Cup Series: AJ Allmendinger is awarded pole position	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

30%

Top Probability

$34.63K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Bank of America 400 If X has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Bank of America 400, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the qualifying race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. If NASCAR declares co-pole-sitters without applying a tie-br

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bank of America 400 Qualifying Session: Pole Position
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Bank of America 400

If X has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Bank of America 400, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the qualifying race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. If NASCAR declares co-pole-sitters without applying a tie-br

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Zane Smith has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Bank of America 400, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $34.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Cup Series: Zane Smith is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Cup Series: William Byron is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $341
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Cup Series: Tyler Reddick is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Cup Series: Ty Gibbs is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $630
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Cup Series: Ty Dillon is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $593
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Cup Series: Todd Gilliland is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Cup Series: Shane Van Gisbergen is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $185
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Cup Series: Ryan Preece is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Cup Series: Ryan Blaney is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $791
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Cup Series: Ross Chastain is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $12
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Cup Series: Ricky Stenhouse is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $35
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Cup Series: Riley Herbst is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Cup Series: Noah Gragson is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Cup Series: Michael McDowell is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $12
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Cup Series: Kyle Larson is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $21.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Cup Series: John H. Nemechek is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Cup Series: Joey Logano is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Cup Series: Josh Berry is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Cup Series: Gray Gaulding is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $592
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Cup Series: Erik Jones is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Cup Series: Denny Hamlin is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Cup Series: Daniel Suárez is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Cup Series: Connor Zilisch is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Cup Series: Cody Ware is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $592
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Cup Series: Corey Heim is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $496
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Cup Series: Cole Custer is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $592
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Cup Series: Chase Elliott is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $69
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Cup Series: Chris Buescher is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Cup Series: Chase Briscoe is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Cup Series: Christopher Bell is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $984
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Cup Series: Carson Hocevar is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $482
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Cup Series: Bubba Wallace is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $285
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Cup Series: Brad Keselowski is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Cup Series: B.J. McLeod is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $592
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 35. Cup Series: Austin Hill is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 36. Cup Series: Austin Dillon is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 37. Cup Series: Austin Cindric is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $278
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 38. Cup Series: Alex Bowman is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 39. Cup Series: AJ Allmendinger is awarded pole position
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Bank of America 400 Qualifying Session: Pole Position

Volume$34.63K

Markets39

39 of 39

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KALSHI

Cup Series: Chase Briscoe is awarded pole position

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Cup Series: Chase Briscoe is awarded pole position

If Chase Briscoe has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Bank of America 400, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid

KALSHI

Cup Series: Denny Hamlin is awarded pole position

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Cup Series: Denny Hamlin is awarded pole position

If Denny Hamlin has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Bank of America 400, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid o

KALSHI

Cup Series: Kyle Larson is awarded pole position

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Cup Series: Kyle Larson is awarded pole position

If Kyle Larson has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Bank of America 400, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid ou

KALSHI

Cup Series: Tyler Reddick is awarded pole position

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Cup Series: Tyler Reddick is awarded pole position

If Tyler Reddick has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Bank of America 400, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid

KALSHI

Cup Series: Joey Logano is awarded pole position

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Cup Series: Joey Logano is awarded pole position

If Joey Logano has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Bank of America 400, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid ou

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3¢

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Bank of America 400 Qualifying Session: Pole Position

Bank of America 400 Qualifying Session: Pole Position

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Cup Series: Chase Briscoe is awarded pole position

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Events (1)

Bank of America 400 Qualifying Session: Pole Position

Markets (39)

Cup Series: Chase Briscoe is awarded pole position

Cup Series: Chase Briscoe is awarded pole position

Cup Series: Denny Hamlin is awarded pole position

Cup Series: Denny Hamlin is awarded pole position

Cup Series: Kyle Larson is awarded pole position

Cup Series: Kyle Larson is awarded pole position

Cup Series: Tyler Reddick is awarded pole position

Cup Series: Tyler Reddick is awarded pole position

Cup Series: Joey Logano is awarded pole position

Cup Series: Joey Logano is awarded pole position

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Cup Series: Chase Briscoe is awarded pole position

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Bank of America 400 Qualifying Session: Pole Position

Cup Series: Chase Briscoe is awarded pole position

Cup Series: Chase Briscoe is awarded pole position

Cup Series: Denny Hamlin is awarded pole position

Cup Series: Denny Hamlin is awarded pole position

Cup Series: Kyle Larson is awarded pole position

Cup Series: Kyle Larson is awarded pole position

Cup Series: Tyler Reddick is awarded pole position

Cup Series: Tyler Reddick is awarded pole position

Cup Series: Joey Logano is awarded pole position

Cup Series: Joey Logano is awarded pole position

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