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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

#2 Spotify artist in May?

Name: #2 Spotify artist in May?
End: 2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$212.26

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

#2 Spotify artist in May?

Vol

$212.26

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $212.26

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $212.26

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	42%
Will Lady Gaga have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	42%
Will Taylor Swift have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	42%
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	42%
Will Billie Eilish have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	42%
Will Drake have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	42%
Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	42%
Will Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	41%
Will Kendrick Lamar have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	40%
Will Coldplay have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	40%
Will Kanye West have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	40%
Will Noah Kahan have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	2%
Will Ed Sheeran have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

42%

Top Probability

$212.26

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on May 31, 2026, 12PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** #2 Spotify artist in May?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on May 31, 2026, 12PM ET.

The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total.

In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on May 31, 2026, 12PM ET.

The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborat"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $212
* **Total Liquidity:** $900
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.24)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Kendrick Lamar have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $56
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Lady Gaga have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Coldplay have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $56
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Noah Kahan have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Taylor Swift have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Kanye West have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Billie Eilish have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Ed Sheeran have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Drake have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture