Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Vincent van Gogh: Châtaigniers en fleurs sale price?

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$6.16K

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Vincent van Gogh: Châtaigniers en fleurs sale price?

Vol

$6.16K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $6.16K

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0.0%avg

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Volume DistributionTotal: $6.16K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $100000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $100000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?	Kalshi	98%
Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $140000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?	Kalshi	97%
Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $120000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?	Kalshi	97%
Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $160000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?	Kalshi	94%
Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $180000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?	Kalshi	88%
Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $200000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?	Kalshi	70%
Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $220000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?	Kalshi	44%
Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $240000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?	Kalshi	26%
Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $260000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?	Kalshi	19%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$6.16K

Volume

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About This Event

November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection) If the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's is above X during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST, Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from the amount displayed under “Lot Sold” on the Sotheby’s website. If the value is reported in a currency other than USD, it will be converted to USD using the p

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Vincent van Gogh: Châtaigniers en fleurs sale price?
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)

If the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's is above X during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST, Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from the amount displayed under “Lot Sold” on the Sotheby’s website. If the value is reported in a currency other than USD, it will be converted to USD using the p

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's is above $260M during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Outcome verified from the amount disp"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $260000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 17, 2027): Vol $373
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $240000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 17, 2027): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $220000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 17, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $200000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 17, 2027): Vol $214
  DATA: [Yes: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $180000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 17, 2027): Vol $730
  DATA: [Yes: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $160000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 17, 2027): Vol $42
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $140000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 17, 2027): Vol $43
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $120000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 17, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $100000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 17, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Vincent van Gogh: Châtaigniers en fleurs sale price?

Volume$6.16K

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KALSHI

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $100000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHITech

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $100000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

If the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's is above $100M during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Outcome verified from the amount disp

KALSHI

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $140000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHITech

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $140000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

If the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's is above $140M during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Outcome verified from the amount disp

KALSHI

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $120000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHITech

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $120000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

If the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's is above $120M during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Outcome verified from the amount disp

KALSHI

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $160000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.0¢No 6.0¢

KALSHITech

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $160000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

If the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's is above $160M during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Outcome verified from the amount disp

KALSHI

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $180000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.0¢No 12.0¢

KALSHITech

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $180000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

If the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's is above $180M during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Outcome verified from the amount disp

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70¢

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Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $100000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

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Events (1)

Vincent van Gogh: Châtaigniers en fleurs sale price?

Markets (9)

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $100000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $100000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $140000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $140000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $120000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $120000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $160000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $160000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $180000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $180000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

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Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $100000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Vincent van Gogh: Châtaigniers en fleurs sale price?

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $100000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $100000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $140000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $140000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $120000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $120000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $160000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $160000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $180000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

Will the lot sold price of the Châtaigniers en fleurs by Vincent van Gogh on Sotheby's be above $180000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?

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