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GroupPOLYMARKET

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 20?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 20?
Vol

PM $22

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Events

1

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Markets

11

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $22

Reported volume · provider units

11

Saved contracts

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 19?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 19?

PM $7.1K
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 19?Yes 50.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 19?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 19?Yes 3.1%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 20?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 20?

PM $2.1K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 20?Yes 48.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?Yes 29%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 20?Yes 15.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on October 20?

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on October 20?

PM $243.9
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 20?Yes 42.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 20?Yes 39.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C or below on October 20?Yes 29.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on October 20?

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on October 20?

PM $45.44
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 20?Yes 46%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 20?Yes 40.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 20?Yes 28%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on October 20?

Lowest temperature in Chongqing on October 20?

PM $35
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 12°C or below on October 20?Yes 49.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or higher on October 20?Yes 48.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 14°C on October 20?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 20?

Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 20?

PM $0
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 15°C or below on October 20?Yes 49.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C or higher on October 20?Yes 48.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 16°C on October 20?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

0

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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