Market snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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US 7Y Treasury yield at 9:00am ET?

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US 7Y Treasury yield at 9:00am ET?

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Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

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Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?	Kalshi	50.5%
Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?	Kalshi	50.5%
Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?	Kalshi	50.5%
Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?	Kalshi	50.5%
Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?	Kalshi	50.5%
Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?	Kalshi	49.5%
Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?	Kalshi	49.5%
Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?	Kalshi	49.5%
Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?	Kalshi	49.5%
Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?	Kalshi	49.5%
Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?	Kalshi	49.0%
Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?	Kalshi	0.0%

Rules & Resolution

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Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above X at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: US 7Y Treasury yield at 9:00am ET?
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 0 contracts
Coverage: 17 of 17 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX7YRRATEH-19OCT2609-T491; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx7yrrateh-19oct2609
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 100.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.91% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX7YRRATEH-19OCT2609-T507; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx7yrrateh-19oct2609
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.07% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX7YRRATEH-19OCT2609-T506; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx7yrrateh-19oct2609
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.06% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX7YRRATEH-19OCT2609-T505; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx7yrrateh-19oct2609
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.05% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX7YRRATEH-19OCT2609-T504; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx7yrrateh-19oct2609
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.04% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX7YRRATEH-19OCT2609-T503; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx7yrrateh-19oct2609
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 51.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.03% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX7YRRATEH-19OCT2609-T502; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx7yrrateh-19oct2609
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.02% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX7YRRATEH-19OCT2609-T501; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx7yrrateh-19oct2609
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.01% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX7YRRATEH-19OCT2609-T500; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx7yrrateh-19oct2609
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.00% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX7YRRATEH-19OCT2609-T499; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx7yrrateh-19oct2609
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.99% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX7YRRATEH-19OCT2609-T498; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx7yrrateh-19oct2609
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.98% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX7YRRATEH-19OCT2609-T497; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx7yrrateh-19oct2609
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.97% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX7YRRATEH-19OCT2609-T496; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx7yrrateh-19oct2609
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.96% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX7YRRATEH-19OCT2609-T495; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx7yrrateh-19oct2609
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.95% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX7YRRATEH-19OCT2609-T494; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx7yrrateh-19oct2609
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.94% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX7YRRATEH-19OCT2609-T493; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx7yrrateh-19oct2609
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.93% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX7YRRATEH-19OCT2609-T492; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx7yrrateh-19oct2609
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.92% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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KALSHIFinancials