Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal Winner

Total Volume

$10.71

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Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal Winner

Vol

$10.71

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $10.71

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $10.71

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

24 markets tracked

Will Filipe Toledo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(24)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Filipe Toledo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?	Kalshi	49%
Will Yago Dora win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?	Kalshi	49%
Will Samuel Pupo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?	Kalshi	48%
Will Seth Moniz win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?	Kalshi	48%
Will Miguel Pupo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?	Kalshi	48%
Will Marco Mignot win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?	Kalshi	48%
Will Morgan Cibilic win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?	Kalshi	48%
Will Liam O'Brien win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?	Kalshi	48%
Will Leonardo Fioravanti win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?	Kalshi	48%
Will Kauli Vaast win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?	Kalshi	48%
Will Kanoa Igarashi win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?	Kalshi	48%
Will Jack Robinson win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?	Kalshi	48%
Will Jake Marshall win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?	Kalshi	48%
Will Joao Chianca win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?	Kalshi	48%
Will Italo Ferreira win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?	Kalshi	48%
Will Guilherme Ribeiro win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?	Kalshi	48%
Will George Pittar win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?	Kalshi	48%
Will Gabriel Medina win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?	Kalshi	48%
Will Griffin Colapinto win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?	Kalshi	48%
Will Frederico Morais win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?	Kalshi	48%
Will Ethan Ewing win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?	Kalshi	48%
Will Callum Robson win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?	Kalshi	48%
Will Connor O'Leary win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?	Kalshi	48%
Will Cole Houshmand win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?	Kalshi	48%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

49%

Top Probability

$10.71

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal (2026) If X wins the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal surfing competition, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal (2026)

If X wins the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal surfing competition, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Yago Dora wins the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal surfing competition, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are th"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $11
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Yago Dora win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 23, 2027): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Samuel Pupo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Seth Moniz win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Miguel Pupo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Marco Mignot win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Morgan Cibilic win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Liam O'Brien win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Leonardo Fioravanti win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Kauli Vaast win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Kanoa Igarashi win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Jack Robinson win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Jake Marshall win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Joao Chianca win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Italo Ferreira win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Guilherme Ribeiro win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will George Pittar win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Gabriel Medina win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Griffin Colapinto win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Filipe Toledo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 23, 2027): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Frederico Morais win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Ethan Ewing win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Callum Robson win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Connor O'Leary win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Cole Houshmand win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal Winner

Volume$10.71

Markets24

24 of 24

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KALSHI

Will Filipe Toledo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.0¢No 51.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Filipe Toledo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

If Filipe Toledo wins the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal surfing competition, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names ar

KALSHI

Will Yago Dora win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Yago Dora win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

If Yago Dora wins the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal surfing competition, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are th

KALSHI

Will Samuel Pupo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Samuel Pupo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

If Samuel Pupo wins the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal surfing competition, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are

KALSHI

Will Seth Moniz win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Seth Moniz win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

If Seth Moniz wins the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal surfing competition, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are t

KALSHI

Will Miguel Pupo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Miguel Pupo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

If Miguel Pupo wins the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal surfing competition, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are

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48¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/2Ejy4I" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal Winner"></iframe>

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Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal Winner

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Will Filipe Toledo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal Winner

Markets (24)

Will Filipe Toledo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

Will Filipe Toledo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

Will Yago Dora win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

Will Yago Dora win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

Will Samuel Pupo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

Will Samuel Pupo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

Will Seth Moniz win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

Will Seth Moniz win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

Will Miguel Pupo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

Will Miguel Pupo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

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Will Filipe Toledo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal Winner

Will Filipe Toledo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

Will Filipe Toledo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

Will Yago Dora win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

Will Yago Dora win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

Will Samuel Pupo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

Will Samuel Pupo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

Will Seth Moniz win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

Will Seth Moniz win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

Will Miguel Pupo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

Will Miguel Pupo win the 2026 Men's MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal?

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