Name: England vs. Japan - More Markets
End: 2026-03-31T18:45:00.000Z

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England vs. Japan - More Markets | PredictPedia

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9 markets tracked

England vs. Japan: Over/Under 1.5

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
England vs. Japan: Over/Under 1.5	Poly	75%
England vs. Japan: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	51%
England vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score	Poly	51%
Spread: England (-1.5)	Poly	37%
England vs. Japan: Over/Under 3.5	Poly	30%
Spread: Japan (-1.5)	Poly	27%
Spread: England (-2.5)	Poly	19%
England vs. Japan: Over/Under 4.5	Poly	14%
Spread: Japan (-2.5)	Poly	6%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, March 29, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** England vs. Japan - More Markets
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 31, 2026 (3 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for March 31 at 2:45 PM ET.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for March 31 at 2:45 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "England" if England win the game by 2 or more goals.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Japan".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has bee"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $22.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.12)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Spread: England (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $172
  DATA: [England: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [Japan: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Spread: Japan (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Japan: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [England: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Spread: England (-2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [England: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [Japan: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Spread: Japan (-2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Japan: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [England: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. England vs. Japan: Over/Under 1.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $28
  DATA: [Over: 74.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 25.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. England vs. Japan: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $119
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. England vs. Japan: Over/Under 3.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $108
  DATA: [Over: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. England vs. Japan: Over/Under 4.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Over: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. England vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $541
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

2d 6h remaining

Mar 31, 2026 6:45 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

34¢

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England vs. Japan - More Markets

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England vs. Japan: Over/Under 1.5

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Educational Context

Events (1)

England vs. Japan - More Markets

Markets (9)

England vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score

England vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score

Spread: England (-1.5)

Spread: England (-1.5)

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

Spread: England (-2.5)

Spread: England (-2.5)

Spread: Japan (-2.5)

Spread: Japan (-2.5)

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England vs. Japan: Over/Under 1.5

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

England vs. Japan - More Markets

England vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score

England vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score

Spread: England (-1.5)

Spread: England (-1.5)

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

Spread: England (-2.5)

Spread: England (-2.5)

Spread: Japan (-2.5)

Spread: Japan (-2.5)

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