Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETMentions

What will Trump post this week? (October 5 - October 11)

Name: What will Trump post this week? (October 5 - October 11)
End: 2026-10-11T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.84K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

What will Trump post this week? (October 5 - October 11)

Vol

$2.84K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.84K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.84K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?	Poly	55%
Will Trump post "Vance" on Truth Social this week?	Poly	50%
Will Trump post "Rigged" on Truth Social this week?	Poly	36%
Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week?	Poly	36%
Will Trump post "Sanction" on Truth Social this week?	Poly	35%
Will Trump post "President Xi" on Truth Social this week?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

55%

Top Probability

$2.84K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between October 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will Trump post this week? (October 5 - October 11)
**Category:** Mentions | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 11, 2026 (0 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between October 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.

Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between October 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/tru"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $927
* **Total Liquidity:** $181
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 5.13)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Trump post "President Xi" on Truth Social this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $204
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Trump post "Rigged" on Truth Social this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $149
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $119
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Trump post "Sanction" on Truth Social this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $81
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $223
  DATA: [Yes: 54.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.1% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Trump post "Vance" on Truth Social this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $152
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETMentions