Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
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Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on the price of Solana, titled "Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET" [1]. The rules say it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-11-01T03:55:00.000Z [1]. The title uses Eastern Time, while the listed end time is in UTC, so readers should check both when matching the window to their own clock. The rules describe the outcome test, not an announced event or result.
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation is from 2026-10-31T09:00:05Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-31T10:39:01Z [1]. The snapshot shows "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are prices recorded at that observation time. They are not live quotes, executable prices, or verified probabilities, and they do not show whether either side could be bought or sold at these levels.
The sample covers one market from one platform, with no other markets from the same event. Coverage is listed as complete for this saved event, but the sample notice states that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Because only this contract is in the sample, there is no comparison with other contracts or platforms here. The small gap between the two prices is a fact about this snapshot only.
Trading volume, if reported, does not show liquidity or the number of traders, and this evidence does not include volume figures for interpretation.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show what has happened to the Solana price since the observation, whether the contract is still trading, or how the TWAP will compare with the starting price. It also does not explain why the prices stand where they do. Anyone using these figures should check the provider's current status and rules before relying on them.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term crypto price contract on Polymarket: "Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET" [1]. The contract is about the price of Solana (SOL) measured against U.S. dollars over a five-minute window. According to the rules in the source, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically its SOL/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval [1]. The source states that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream for the SOL/USD pair, not according to other sources or spot markets [1]. This matters because a trader reading a price on a different exchange or data feed may see a different figure than the one the contract uses. The source lists the provider status as active and gives a listed end time of 2026-11-01T03:55:00Z [1]. That end time is the scheduled close of the contract's measurement window as listed by the provider. It is not evidence of how or when the contract actually resolved, and the supplied material does not include a resolution outcome. The market's saved outcome prices are Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot values from the provider's observation time, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Volume and price levels in a market like this do not indicate how many people are trading or how deep the order book is.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow question: whether the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP over a specific five-minute window finishes at or above its starting level [1]. Because it is tied to a single named data stream rather than a general notion of "the price of Solana," the exact feed, averaging method and time window define the outcome. The rules also state that the contract is about that specific Chainlink data and not about other sources or spot markets [1]. Anyone using the prices for research should keep the observation time and the contract's closing time separate from the time the figures were retrieved.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-31 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Solana Up or Down contract pay out on?
It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of Solana over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1].
Which data source decides the outcome?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval [1]. The rules state that other sources or spot markets are not the reference [1].
Does a price of 0.505 for Up mean a 50.5 percent chance?
Not necessarily. The saved prices are snapshots from the provider, and they are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
When does the contract close?
The provider lists the end time as 2026-11-01T03:55:00Z [1]. This is the listed close of the contract window, not a record of how the contract actually resolved.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.