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Events
GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers

Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers
Vol

PM $54.74M · K 16.59M contracts

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Events

6

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Markets

145

Polymarket vs Kalshi

Snapshot from

As of Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, Harry Kane is priced at 98.7% on Polymarket and 98% on Kalshi.

Outcome (Yes price)PolymarketKalshiGap
Harry KaneSame question, fine print differs98.7%98%0.7 pts
Lamine YamalSame question, fine print differs96.7%97.5%0.8 pts
Kylian MbappéSame question, fine print differs94.5%94.5%0.0 pts
RodriSame question, fine print differs78.5%76.5%2.0 pts
Harry KaneSame question, fine print differs73.2%72.5%0.7 pts
Lionel MessiSame question, fine print differs69.5%70%0.5 pts
Khvicha KvaratskheliaSame question, fine print differs31.5%32%0.5 pts
Lamine YamalSame question, fine print differs18.6%20.5%2.0 pts

Yes prices for outcomes an automated review found to ask the same question on both platforms. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $54.74M · K 16.59M contracts

Reported volume · provider units

145

Saved contracts

35

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Top 5 in 2026 If X is ranked top 5 on official final men's Ballon d'Or ranking for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/, the number of candidates tied, rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Ballon d'Or organizers, France Football and UEFA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early after the rankings are released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiWorld
Titled Tuesday Top 5: Oct 20

Titled Tuesday Top 5: Oct 20

K 10.1K contracts
Titled Tuesday Oct 20, 2026 Top 5 Finishers: Hikaru NakamuraYes 39.5%
Titled Tuesday Oct 20, 2026 Top 5 Finishers: Sina MovahedYes 21.5%
Titled Tuesday Oct 20, 2026 Top 5 Finishers: Magnus CarlsenYes 19.5%
+68 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketSports
Women's Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026

Women's Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026

PM $9.8K
Will Alexia Putellas finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Yes 99%
Will Melchie Dumornay finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Yes 94.5%
Will Ewa Pajor finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Yes 94%
+27 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiSports
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers

Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers

PM $577.1K · K 47.3K contracts

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Kalshi: Harry Kane: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?

Related contracts

PM Yes 97.4%Rules differK Yes 96.5%

Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Kalshi: Lamine Yamal: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?

Related contracts

PM Yes 86%Rules differK Yes 84.5%

Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Kalshi: Kylian Mbappé: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?

Related contracts

PM Yes 81.5%Rules differK Yes 81.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

19 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketSports
English Premier League Top 5 Finishers (2026-27)

English Premier League Top 5 Finishers (2026-27)

PM $24.4K
Will Arsenal finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Yes 97.3%
Will Chelsea finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Yes 71.5%
Will Liverpool finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Yes 63%
+17 moreNext deadline Jun 14, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Big Ten Regular Season: Top 5 Finishers

Big Ten Regular Season: Top 5 Finishers

K 11.4K contracts
Will Ohio State finish in the top 5 in the Big Ten in the 2026 college football regular season?Yes 93%
Will UCLA finish in the top 5 in the Big Ten in the 2026 college football regular season?Yes 84.5%
Will Indiana finish in the top 5 in the Big Ten in the 2026 college football regular season?Yes 84.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
ACC Regular Season: Top 5 Finishers

ACC Regular Season: Top 5 Finishers

K 5.6K contracts
Will Miami (FL) finish in the top 5 in the Atlantic Coast Conference in the 2026 college football regular season?Yes 96.5%
Will Wake Forest finish in the top 5 in the Atlantic Coast Conference in the 2026 college football regular season?Yes 87.5%
Will SMU finish in the top 5 in the Atlantic Coast Conference in the 2026 college football regular season?Yes 86%
+14 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

5

Same-question pairs

35

Largest saved gap: 2.4 percentage points.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.