
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers
PM $54.74M · K 16.59M contracts
6
145
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers

PM $54.74M · K 16.59M contracts
6
145
Polymarket vs Kalshi
Snapshot from
As of Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, Harry Kane is priced at 98.7% on Polymarket and 98% on Kalshi.
| Outcome (Yes price) | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry KaneSame question, fine print differs | 98.7% | 98% | 0.7 pts |
| Lamine YamalSame question, fine print differs | 96.7% | 97.5% | 0.8 pts |
| Kylian MbappéSame question, fine print differs | 94.5% | 94.5% | 0.0 pts |
| RodriSame question, fine print differs | 78.5% | 76.5% | 2.0 pts |
| Harry KaneSame question, fine print differs | 73.2% | 72.5% | 0.7 pts |
| Lionel MessiSame question, fine print differs | 69.5% | 70% | 0.5 pts |
| Khvicha KvaratskheliaSame question, fine print differs | 31.5% | 32% | 0.5 pts |
| Lamine YamalSame question, fine print differs | 18.6% | 20.5% | 2.0 pts |
Yes prices for outcomes an automated review found to ask the same question on both platforms. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $54.74M · K 16.59M contracts
Reported volume · provider units
145
Saved contracts
35
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
Top 5 in 2026 If X is ranked top 5 on official final men's Ballon d'Or ranking for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/, the number of candidates tied, rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Ballon d'Or organizers, France Football and UEFA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early after the rankings are released.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers
PM $577.1K · K 47.3K contractsWill Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Kalshi: Harry Kane: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?
Related contracts
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Kalshi: Lamine Yamal: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?
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Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
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Related contracts
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.

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Price gaps of 2 pp+
5
Same-question pairs
35
Largest saved gap: 2.4 percentage points.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

