Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Women's Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026

Name: Women's Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$7.47K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Women's Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026

Vol

$7.47K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $7.47K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.47K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

30 markets tracked

Will Alexia Putellas finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(30)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Alexia Putellas finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	99%
Will Melchie Dumornay finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	93%
Will Ewa Pajor finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	87%
Will Khadija Shaw finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	50%
Will Patri Guijarro finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	32%
Will Cata Coll finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	27%
Will Vivianne Miedema finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	27%
Will Caroline Graham Hansen finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	14%
Will Pernille Harder finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	11%
Will Mariona Caldentey finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	11%
Will Yui Hasegawa finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	10%
Will Temwa Chawinga finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	10%
Will Alessia Russo finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	10%
Will Claudia Pina finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	9%
Will Esmee Brugts finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	9%
Will Melvine Malard finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	9%
Will Selma Bacha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	8%
Will Mapi León finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	8%
Will Klara Buhl finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	7%
Will Alex Greenwood finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	5%
Will Kerstin Casparij finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	4%
Will Momoko Tanikawa finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	4%
Will Manaka Matsukubo finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	4%
Will Wendie Renard finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	4%
Will Barbra Banda finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	4%
Will Scarlett Camberos finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	4%
Will Caroline Weir finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	4%
Will Rose Lavelle finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	4%
Will Lorena finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	4%
Will Tessa Wullaert finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$7.47K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of the official 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 5 players tie for the top 5 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 5 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabe

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Women's Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (82 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of the official 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 5 players tie for the top 5 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 5 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabe

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of the official 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 5 players ti"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.5K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.14)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Alexia Putellas finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ewa Pajor finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $959
  DATA: [Yes: 86.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Claudia Pina finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Caroline Graham Hansen finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $260
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Mariona Caldentey finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $441
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Klara Buhl finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $438
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Patri Guijarro finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $251
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Alessia Russo finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $946
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Barbra Banda finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Temwa Chawinga finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $238
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Selma Bacha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $41
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Esmee Brugts finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $317
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Scarlett Camberos finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Kerstin Casparij finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Cata Coll finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.3% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Melchie Dumornay finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $686
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Alex Greenwood finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Pernille Harder finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $370
  DATA: [Yes: 10.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.2% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Yui Hasegawa finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $141
  DATA: [Yes: 10.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.6% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Rose Lavelle finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Mapi León finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Lorena finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $140
  DATA: [Yes: 4.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Melvine Malard finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $76
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Manaka Matsukubo finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Vivianne Miedema finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.4% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Wendie Renard finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Khadija Shaw finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Momoko Tanikawa finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Caroline Weir finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $81
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Tessa Wullaert finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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