Name: LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage
End: 2026-03-30T23:15:00.000Z

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LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage | PredictPedia

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

23 markets tracked

Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)

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Single-Platform Markets(23)

Market	Platform	Price
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)	Poly	100%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	100%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	91%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	91%
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	90%
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage	Poly	74%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	74%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	10%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	10%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	10%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	10%
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner	Poly	0%
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner	Poly	0%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	0%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	0%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	0%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	0%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, May 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL match between Team Heretics and Team Vitality in the LEC Group Stage, initially scheduled for March 30 at 1:15PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" if Team Heretics win the match against Team Vitality.

This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against Team Heretics.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the LoL match between Team Heretics and Team Vitality in the LEC Group Stage, initially scheduled for March 30 at 1:15PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" if Team Heretics win the match against Team Vitality.

This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team V"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $990.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.19M
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.83)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 30, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 30, 2026): Vol $649.7K
  DATA: [Team Heretics: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Team Vitality: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 30, 2026): Vol $271.3K
  DATA: [Team Heretics: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Team Vitality: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 30, 2026): Vol $47.7K
  DATA: [Over: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Under: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 30, 2026): Vol $20.1K
  DATA: [Team Vitality: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Team Heretics: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 30, 2026): Vol $127
  DATA: [Yes: 91.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 30, 2026): Vol $136
  DATA: [Yes: 91.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 30, 2026): Vol $181
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 30, 2026): Vol $21
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 30, 2026): Vol $54
  DATA: [Yes: 9.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.1% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 30, 2026): Vol $27
  DATA: [Odd: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [Even: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 30, 2026): Vol $149
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 30, 2026): Vol $81
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 30, 2026): Vol $186
  DATA: [Yes: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 30, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 30, 2026): Vol $84
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 30, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Odd: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 30, 2026): Vol $38
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 30, 2026): Vol $188
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

39¢

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LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

Markets (23)

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

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Discussion

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