Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner

Name: Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner
End: 2026-11-16T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$10.04K

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Markets

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Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner

Vol

$10.04K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $10.04K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $10.04K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Poly	70%
Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Poly	13%
Will Anton Rop win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Poly	11%
Will Jasmin Feratović win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Poly	7%
Will Aleš Primc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Poly	7%
Will Apolonija Simon win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Gregor Novak win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Mihael Jarc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

70%

Top Probability

$10.04K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The next Ljubljana mayoral election is scheduled to be held on November 15, 2026, to elect the mayor of the City Municipality of Ljubljana, Slovenia (župan Mestne občine Ljubljana). If no candidate wins a majority of valid votes in the first round, a runoff between the two leading candidates is scheduled for November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ljubljana as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 16, 2026 (36 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The next Ljubljana mayoral election is scheduled to be held on November 15, 2026, to elect the mayor of the City Municipality of Ljubljana, Slovenia (župan Mestne občine Ljubljana). If no candidate wins a majority of valid votes in the first round, a runoff between the two leading candidates is scheduled for November 29, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ljubljana as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will 

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $145.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.07)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $6.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 70.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Anton Rop win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $840
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Gregor Novak win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $253
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Jasmin Feratović win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $240
  DATA: [Yes: 6.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.3% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Aleš Primc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $240
  DATA: [Yes: 6.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.3% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Mihael Jarc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $299
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Apolonija Simon win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $324
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics