Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Mamdani visits the White House by...?

Name: Mamdani visits the White House by...?
End: 2026-11-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.54K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Mamdani visits the White House by...?

Vol

$1.54K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.54K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.54K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Mamdani visits the White House by December 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Mamdani visits the White House by December 31?	Poly	30%
Mamdani visits the White House by October 31?	Poly	14%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

30%

Top Probability

$1.54K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani physically visits the White House complex in Washington, D.C., for any reason by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The visit must take place on White House grounds. Engagements held elsewhere in Washington, D.C., at other U.S. government facilities, or via virtual platforms do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Mamdani visits the White House by...?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 1, 2026 (20 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani physically visits the White House complex in Washington, D.C., for any reason by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The visit must take place on White House grounds. Engagements held elsewhere in Washington, D.C., at other U.S. government facilities, or via virtual platforms do not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani physically visits the White House complex in Washington, D.C., for any reason by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The visit must take place on White House grounds. Engagements held elsewhere in Washingt"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $844
* **Total Liquidity:** $31.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.03)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Mamdani visits the White House by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $732
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Mamdani visits the White House by December 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $112
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics