Events
GroupPOLYMARKET
Blues vs. Sharks
Vol
Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison
Polymarket
6
markets · $0.00
Kalshi
0
markets · $0.00
Price Spread
0.0%avg
max 0.0%
Arbitrage
0
of 0 cross-platform
$0.00
1
6
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 6 at 10:00PM ET: If the Blues win, the market will resolve to "Blues". If the Sharks win, the market will resolve to "Sharks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be add
Prediction markets currently give the San Jose Sharks a very slight edge to win their March 6th game against the St. Louis Blues. The odds translate to a roughly 53% probability, meaning traders collectively see this as almost a pure coin flip. This is a very narrow margin, indicating the market views these two teams as nearly evenly matched for this specific contest.
The near-even odds reflect the current realities for both NHL teams. The St. Louis Blues are in a tight race for a Western Conference playoff spot. They have been inconsistent but have shown recent fight, making them unpredictable. The San Jose Sharks, while at the bottom of the league standings, are known for playing spoiler and have recently shown more competitive form after a historically poor start to the season.
A key factor is likely the game's location. The matchup is in San Jose. Home-ice advantage in the NHL, while not decisive, typically adds a small but real boost to a team's chances. For two teams where the talent gap is not enormous on a given night, that home-ice factor might be just enough to tilt the probability slightly toward the Sharks in the eyes of traders.
The main event is the game itself on March 6 at 10:00 PM ET. The most important information to watch for before the puck drops will be the official starting goaltenders for each team, typically announced the morning of the game. A last-minute injury to a key player, especially a goalie or top scorer, could shift the odds. Also, monitor each team's performance in their games immediately preceding this one, as a blowout loss or a key injury in those matches could change perceptions of their form.
For regular-season professional sports games, prediction markets like this one are generally quite accurate. They efficiently aggregate a wide range of public information, betting lines, and insider knowledge about team health and strategy. However, their accuracy has limits. Hockey is a high-variance sport where a hot goalie or a lucky bounce can decide a game between closely matched teams. The 53% probability does not mean the Sharks will win. It means that if this exact game were played 100 times, the market expects the Sharks to win about 53 of them. For a single game, the outcome remains highly uncertain.
Prediction markets on Polymarket price a San Jose Sharks victory at 53 cents, implying a 53% probability. The St. Louis Blues are priced at 47 cents, a 47% chance. This narrow spread indicates the market views this matchup as a near coin-flip, with a slight edge to the home team. A 53% chance suggests the market sees the Sharks as marginally more likely to win, but the outcome is highly uncertain.
The primary factor is home-ice advantage. The game is in San Jose, and historical NHL data shows home teams win roughly 55% of the time, aligning closely with the current market price. The second factor is team performance. Both teams are near the bottom of the Western Conference standings, creating a perceived parity that tightens the odds. The Sharks have a notably poor record but have shown slightly better form at home recently, while the Blues struggle consistently on the road. This combination of location and comparable weakness explains the slim margin.
Injury reports released on game day, especially to either team's starting goaltender, will cause immediate price movement. A key skater being ruled out could shift the line by 5-10 cents. Pre-game betting line movement from major sportsbooks will also directly influence the prediction market, as traders often arbitrage between the two. A significant shift in the puck line or moneyline odds in the hours before puck drop will be reflected here. The market will remain highly reactive until the game starts.
This contract is trading exclusively on Polymarket. The absence of a comparable market on Kalshi eliminates a direct arbitrage opportunity. This concentration means all liquidity and price discovery is happening in one place, so the 53-47 spread is the sole consensus view from prediction market participants. Traders should monitor for any last-minute, high-volume trades that could signal informed money entering the market.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market concerns the outcome of a National Hockey League regular season game between the St. Louis Blues and the San Jose Sharks, scheduled for March 6 at 10:00 PM Eastern Time. The market will resolve based on the official final result, including any overtime or shootout goals. If the Blues win, the market resolves to 'Blues.' A Sharks victory resolves to 'Sharks.' A postponed game keeps the market open until completion, while a canceled game with no rescheduling results in a 50-50 split resolution. This specific matchup is part of the NHL's 2023-24 regular season schedule, where both teams are competing for playoff positioning in the Western Conference. The game will be played at the SAP Center in San Jose, California, the Sharks' home arena. The Blues and Sharks are both members of the NHL's Western Conference but play in different divisions: the Blues in the Central Division and the Sharks in the Pacific Division. They typically face each other two or three times per regular season. The outcome of this game will impact each team's point total in the standings, which determines playoff qualification. People are interested in this market because it allows them to speculate on the game's result based on team performance, injuries, recent trends, and historical matchups. Bettors and hockey fans analyze factors like goaltending, special teams efficiency, and home-ice advantage to inform their predictions. The market provides a financial mechanism to engage with the game beyond simple fandom.
The St. Louis Blues and San Jose Sharks have been NHL rivals since the Sharks entered the league as an expansion team in 1991. Both franchises have experienced significant playoff success, with the Sharks appearing in the Stanley Cup Final in 2016 and the Blues winning their first championship in 2019. Their playoff history includes several memorable series, most notably a six-game Western Conference Final in 2016 won by the Sharks. In the regular season, the all-time series record is relatively close. As of the start of the 2023-24 season, the Blues held a slight edge in the overall win-loss record. Recent seasons have seen a shift in fortunes. The Sharks, who were perennial contenders for over a decade, entered a pronounced rebuild beginning around 2022, trading away star players like Brent Burns and Timo Meier. Conversely, the Blues won the Stanley Cup in 2019 and remained a playoff team for several seasons after, though they missed the playoffs in the 2022-23 season. This created a dynamic where the traditionally powerful Sharks are now among the league's bottom teams, while the Blues are fighting to return to the postseason. Their games, once clashes of elite Western Conference powers, now often feature a Blues team with playoff aspirations against a Sharks team focused on development and securing a high draft pick.
For the St. Louis Blues, every game against a lower-ranked opponent like the Sharks is a near-must-win scenario in the tight Western Conference playoff race. Dropping points in such games can be the difference between qualifying for the postseason or ending the season in April. For the organization, making the playoffs has substantial economic implications, including additional ticket revenue, merchandise sales, and local broadcasting deals. For the San Jose Sharks, the game is part of a long-term rebuilding strategy. While winning is always the goal, player development and evaluating talent for the future are equally important. The outcome affects team morale and can influence trade deadline decisions or offseason planning. For the league and its partners, the game is a product that drives television ratings, sports betting engagement, and fan interest. A large number of prediction markets and sportsbooks will offer odds on this contest, generating significant handle. The result contributes to the statistical fabric of the season, influencing everything from awards voting to power rankings.
As the game approaches in early March, both teams are dealing with the realities of the NHL season. The St. Louis Blues are actively competing for a playoff berth. In the weeks leading up to this game, their performance has been inconsistent, with wins needed to keep pace in a crowded wild card race. The San Jose Sharks remain at the bottom of the overall league standings. Their recent focus has been on evaluating younger players and veteran trade assets ahead of the NHL's March 8 trade deadline. Injuries and roster decisions for both clubs in the days before the March 6 faceoff will be the final factors influencing the matchup. The latest line combinations, defensive pairings, and confirmed starting goaltenders will be announced closer to game time.
The game is scheduled to be played at the SAP Center at San Jose, located in San Jose, California. This is the home arena of the San Jose Sharks.
National broadcast information for specific NHL games is typically confirmed a week in advance. The game will likely be broadcast on regional sports networks for each team (Bally Sports Midwest for Blues markets, NBC Sports California for Sharks markets) and may be available on streaming services like ESPN+.
Based on season-long performance and standings, the St. Louis Blues are heavily favored to defeat the San Jose Sharks. Sportsbooks will establish a moneyline and puck line reflecting this expectation, with the Blues having significantly shorter odds.
Historically, the series has been competitive. According to Stathead, entering the 2023-24 season, the St. Louis Blues led the all-time regular season series with a record of approximately 68-58-19 (wins-losses-ties) against the San Jose Sharks.
Yes, the teams have met in the Stanley Cup Playoffs on three occasions. The most notable meeting was the 2016 Western Conference Final, which the San Jose Sharks won 4 games to 2. They also faced off in first-round series in 2000 and 2004.
For the purpose of this prediction market and official NHL standings, a shootout victory counts as a win. The market resolves based on the official winner after the shootout. One goal is added to the winning team's final score for statistical purposes.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
6 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 53% |
| Poly | 53% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 51% |
| Poly | 51% |
| Poly | 49% |
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