Name: Number of TSA passengers January 12 - January 18?
End: 2026-01-18T00:00:00.000Z

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Number of TSA passengers January 12 - January 18? | PredictPedia

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $62.28K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $62.28K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be between 14,750,000 and 15,000,000?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be between 14,750,000 and 15,000,000?	Poly	45%
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be between 14,250,000 and 14,500,000?	Poly	18%
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be between 14,500,000 and 14,750,000?	Poly	17%
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be between 15,000,000 and 15,250,000?	Poly	14%
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be less than 14,250,000?	Poly	7%
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be greater than 15,250,000?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

45%

Top Probability

$62.28K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between January 12, 2026 and January 18, 2026 (inclusive). The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 m

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Number of TSA passengers January 12 - January 18?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 18, 2026 (2 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between January 12, 2026 and January 18, 2026 (inclusive). 

The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 m

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between January 12, 2026 and January 18, 2026 (inclusive). 

The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily T"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $62.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $5.9K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 10.63)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be between 14,750,000 and 15,000,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2026): Vol $22.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be between 14,500,000 and 14,750,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be less than 14,250,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2026): Vol $18.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be greater than 15,250,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2026): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be between 14,250,000 and 14,500,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2026): Vol $974
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be between 15,000,000 and 15,250,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2026): Vol $15.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture