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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

Name: María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
End: 2026-01-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$5.70M

Events

Markets

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María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

Vol

$5.70M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $5.70M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.70M

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	Poly	11%
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	Poly	7%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

11%

Top Probability

$5.70M

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and Janaury 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary re

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, August 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and Janaury 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary re

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $123.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $77.5K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.60)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $77.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $45.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

Volume$5.70M

Markets2

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POLYMARKET

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

POLYMARKETPolitics

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory

POLYMARKET

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢

POLYMARKETPolitics

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?

If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory

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Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

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Events (1)

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

Markets (2)

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?

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Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

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María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?

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