Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

M15 Heraklion: Kian Vakili vs Thomas Kostka

Name: M15 Heraklion: Kian Vakili vs Thomas Kostka
End: 2026-10-19T09:30:00.000Z

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M15 Heraklion: Kian Vakili vs Thomas Kostka

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3 markets tracked

M15 Heraklion: Kian Vakili vs Thomas Kostka

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
M15 Heraklion: Kian Vakili vs Thomas Kostka	Poly	59%
Set Handicap: Kian Vakili (-1.5) vs Thomas Kostka (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Set Handicap: Thomas Kostka (-1.5) vs Kian Vakili (+1.5)	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

59%

Top Probability

$0.00

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About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Kian Vakili and Thomas Kostka in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kian Vakili' if Kian Vakili advances against Thomas Kostka. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Kostka' if Thomas Kostka advances against Kian Vakili. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the s

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** M15 Heraklion: Kian Vakili vs Thomas Kostka
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Kian Vakili and Thomas Kostka in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Kian Vakili' if Kian Vakili advances against Thomas Kostka.

This market will resolve to 'Thomas Kostka' if Thomas Kostka advances against Kian Vakili.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the s

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Kian Vakili and Thomas Kostka in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Kian Vakili' if Kian Vakili advances against Thomas Kostka.

This market will resolve to 'Thomas Kostka"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $83
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. M15 Heraklion: Kian Vakili vs Thomas Kostka
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Kian Vakili: 59.0% (0.0%)] | [Thomas Kostka: 41.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Set Handicap: Kian Vakili (-1.5) vs Thomas Kostka (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Kian Vakili: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Thomas Kostka: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set Handicap: Thomas Kostka (-1.5) vs Kian Vakili (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Thomas Kostka: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Kian Vakili: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

M15 Heraklion: Kian Vakili vs Thomas Kostka

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M15 Heraklion: Kian Vakili vs Thomas Kostka

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PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

M15 Heraklion: Kian Vakili vs Thomas Kostka

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Kian Vakili (-1.5) vs Thomas Kostka (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Kian Vakili (-1.5) vs Thomas Kostka (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Kian Vakili and Thomas Kostka in the M15 Heraklion, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kian Vakili" if Kian Vakili wins by 2 or more sets than Thomas Kostka, based on the final completed score. Otherwise

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Thomas Kostka (-1.5) vs Kian Vakili (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Thomas Kostka (-1.5) vs Kian Vakili (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Kostka and Kian Vakili in the M15 Heraklion, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Thomas Kostka" if Thomas Kostka wins by 2 or more sets than Kian Vakili, based on the final completed score. Otherwi

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Oct 19, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

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53¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/2pyWaW" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="M15 Heraklion: Kian Vakili vs Thomas Kostka"></iframe>

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M15 Heraklion: Kian Vakili vs Thomas Kostka

M15 Heraklion: Kian Vakili vs Thomas Kostka

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M15 Heraklion: Kian Vakili vs Thomas Kostka

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Educational Context

Events (1)

M15 Heraklion: Kian Vakili vs Thomas Kostka

Markets (3)

M15 Heraklion: Kian Vakili vs Thomas Kostka

M15 Heraklion: Kian Vakili vs Thomas Kostka

Set Handicap: Kian Vakili (-1.5) vs Thomas Kostka (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Kian Vakili (-1.5) vs Thomas Kostka (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Thomas Kostka (-1.5) vs Kian Vakili (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Thomas Kostka (-1.5) vs Kian Vakili (+1.5)

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M15 Heraklion: Kian Vakili vs Thomas Kostka

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M15 Heraklion: Kian Vakili vs Thomas Kostka

M15 Heraklion: Kian Vakili vs Thomas Kostka

M15 Heraklion: Kian Vakili vs Thomas Kostka

Set Handicap: Kian Vakili (-1.5) vs Thomas Kostka (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Kian Vakili (-1.5) vs Thomas Kostka (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Thomas Kostka (-1.5) vs Kian Vakili (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Thomas Kostka (-1.5) vs Kian Vakili (+1.5)

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