Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026

Total Volume

$2.61K

Events

Markets

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Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026

Vol

$2.61K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.61K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.61K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

14 markets tracked

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.0%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.0%?	Kalshi	31%
Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.1%?	Kalshi	28%
Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.2%?	Kalshi	25%
Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.3%?	Kalshi	24%
Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.4%?	Kalshi	20%
Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.5%?	Kalshi	18%
Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.6%?	Kalshi	16%
Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.7%?	Kalshi	14%
Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.8%?	Kalshi	12%
Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.9%?	Kalshi	10%
Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 2.0%?	Kalshi	8%
Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 2.1%?	Kalshi	6%
Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 2.2%?	Kalshi	4%
Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 2.3%?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

31%

Top Probability

$2.61K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Q3 2026 If Brazilian GDP, YoY, for Q3 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Q3 2026

If Brazilian GDP, YoY, for Q3 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.1%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.2%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.3%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.4%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 9, 2026): Vol $877
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.5%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 9, 2026): Vol $237
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.6%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 9, 2026): Vol $244
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 2.3%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 9, 2026): Vol $400
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 2.2%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 2.1%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 9, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 2.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 9, 2026): Vol $300
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.9%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.8%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 9, 2026): Vol $62
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.7%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 9, 2026): Vol $287
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026

Volume$2.61K

Markets14

14 of 14

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.0%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 30.5¢No 69.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.0%?

If Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.1%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 27.5¢No 72.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.1%?

If Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 is above 1.1%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.2%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 24.5¢No 75.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.2%?

If Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 is above 1.2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.3%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.3%?

If Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 is above 1.3%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.4%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.0¢No 80.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.4%?

If Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 is above 1.4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

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Average Yes Price

15¢

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Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026

Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026

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Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.0%?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026

Markets (14)

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.0%?

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.0%?

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.1%?

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.1%?

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.2%?

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.2%?

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.3%?

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.3%?

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.4%?

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.4%?

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Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.0%?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.0%?

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.0%?

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.1%?

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.1%?

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.2%?

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.2%?

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.3%?

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.3%?

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.4%?

Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.4%?

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