Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3? | PredictPedia

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?

Name: Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?
End: 2026-05-03T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$23.75K

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Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?

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Polymarket

markets · $23.75K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $23.75K

100%

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1 market tracked

Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?	Poly	16%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

16%

Top Probability

$23.75K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kim Kardashian receives a passing score on the California Bar Exam by May 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of all California State Bar Exams within this market's timeframe are not known by the specified end date, this market may remain open until May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which, if results remain unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official inform

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 3, 2026 (108 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kim Kardashian receives a passing score on the California Bar Exam by May 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of all California State Bar Exams within this market's timeframe are not known by the specified end date, this market may remain open until May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which, if results remain unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official inform

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kim Kardashian receives a passing score on the California Bar Exam by May 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of all California State Bar Exams within this market's timeframe are not known by the specified end date, t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $23.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.6K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 15.05)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $23.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

107d 7h remaining

May 03, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

16¢

Polymarket

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Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?

Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?

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Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)