Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Kentucky gas prices tomorrow

Total Volume

$644.00

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Markets

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Kentucky gas prices tomorrow

Vol

$644.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $644.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $644.00

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Will average gas prices be above $4.0000?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Will average gas prices be above $4.0000?	Kalshi	93%
Will average gas prices be above $4.0050?	Kalshi	89%
Will average gas prices be above $4.0100?	Kalshi	86%
Will average gas prices be above $3.9950?	Kalshi	85%
Will average gas prices be above $4.0150?	Kalshi	83%
Will average gas prices be above $4.0200?	Kalshi	59%
Will average gas prices be above $4.0250?	Kalshi	55%
Will average gas prices be above $4.0350?	Kalshi	48%
Will average gas prices be above $4.0300?	Kalshi	47%
Will average gas prices be above $4.0400?	Kalshi	43%
Will average gas prices be above $4.0450?	Kalshi	41%
Will average gas prices be above $4.0750?	Kalshi	32%
Will average gas prices be above $4.0500?	Kalshi	22%
Will average gas prices be above $4.0650?	Kalshi	22%
Will average gas prices be above $4.0600?	Kalshi	21%
Will average gas prices be above $4.0550?	Kalshi	21%
Will average gas prices be above $4.0700?	Kalshi	20%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

93%

Top Probability

$644.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Oct 12, 2026 If average regular gas prices for Kentucky are strictly greater than X on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Kentucky gas prices tomorrow
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Oct 12, 2026

If average regular gas prices for Kentucky are strictly greater than X on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If average regular gas prices for Kentucky are strictly greater than $4.0750 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $644
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0750?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $16
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0700?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $14
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0650?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0600?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $18
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0550?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $14
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0500?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $18
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0450?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0400?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $6
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0350?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0300?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0250?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 55.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0200?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 59.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0150?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $414
  DATA: [Yes: 83.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0100?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $22
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0050?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $26
  DATA: [Yes: 93.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.9950?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $28
  DATA: [Yes: 85.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Kentucky gas prices tomorrow

On Oct 12, 2026 If average regular gas prices for Kentucky are strictly greater than X on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume$644.00

Markets17

17 of 17

Sort:

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.0000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.0¢No 7.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will average gas prices be above $4.0000?

If average regular gas prices for Kentucky are strictly greater than $4.0000 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.0050?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.0¢No 11.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will average gas prices be above $4.0050?

If average regular gas prices for Kentucky are strictly greater than $4.0050 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.0100?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 86.0¢No 14.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will average gas prices be above $4.0100?

If average regular gas prices for Kentucky are strictly greater than $4.0100 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $3.9950?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 85.0¢No 15.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will average gas prices be above $3.9950?

If average regular gas prices for Kentucky are strictly greater than $3.9950 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.0150?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 83.0¢No 17.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will average gas prices be above $4.0150?

If average regular gas prices for Kentucky are strictly greater than $4.0150 on Oct 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

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51¢

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Kentucky gas prices tomorrow

Kentucky gas prices tomorrow

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Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0000?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Kentucky gas prices tomorrow

Markets (17)

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0050?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0050?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0100?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0100?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.9950?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.9950?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0150?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0150?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0000?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Kentucky gas prices tomorrow

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0050?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0050?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0100?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0100?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.9950?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.9950?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0150?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0150?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget

Will average gas prices be above $4.0000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.0000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.0000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.0050?

Will average gas prices be above $4.0050?

Will average gas prices be above $4.0100?

Will average gas prices be above $4.0100?

Will average gas prices be above $3.9950?

Will average gas prices be above $3.9950?

Will average gas prices be above $4.0150?

Will average gas prices be above $4.0150?

Will average gas prices be above $4.0000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.0000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.0000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.0050?

Will average gas prices be above $4.0050?

Will average gas prices be above $4.0100?

Will average gas prices be above $4.0100?

Will average gas prices be above $3.9950?

Will average gas prices be above $3.9950?

Will average gas prices be above $4.0150?

Will average gas prices be above $4.0150?