Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

Name: Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller
End: 2026-10-19T02:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$222.90

Events

Markets

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Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

Vol

$222.90

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $222.90

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $222.90

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller	Poly	66%
Set 1 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller	Poly	61%
Machac vs. Muller: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	53%
Game Spread: Tomas Machac (-3.5) vs Alexandre Muller (+3.5)	Poly	53%
Jinan: Completed Match: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller	Poly	52%
Machac vs. Muller: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	52%
Set 2 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller	Poly	50%
Machac vs. Muller: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	50%
Machac vs. Muller: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Machac vs. Muller: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Machac vs. Muller: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Machac vs. Muller: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Machac vs. Muller: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	46%
Set Handicap: Tomas Machac (-1.5) vs Alexandre Muller (+1.5)	Poly	46%
Machac vs. Muller: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	40%
Tomas Machac vs. Alexandre Muller: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	38%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

66%

Top Probability

$222.90

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Alexandre Muller in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Alexandre Muller. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Muller' if Alexandre Muller advances against Tomas Machac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the sche

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Alexandre Muller in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Alexandre Muller.

This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Muller' if Alexandre Muller advances against Tomas Machac.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the sche

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Alexandre Muller in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Alexandre Muller.

This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Muller' if Al"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $223
* **Total Liquidity:** $12.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $223
  DATA: [Tomas Machac: 66.0% (0.0%)] | [Alexandre Muller: 34.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Jinan: Completed Match: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Tomas Machac: 60.5% (0.0%)] | [Alexandre Muller: 39.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Tomas Machac: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Alexandre Muller: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Tomas Machac vs. Alexandre Muller: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Machac vs. Muller: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Machac vs. Muller: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Machac vs. Muller: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Machac vs. Muller: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Machac vs. Muller: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Machac vs. Muller: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Machac vs. Muller: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Machac vs. Muller: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Machac vs. Muller: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Tomas Machac (-1.5) vs Alexandre Muller (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Tomas Machac: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [Alexandre Muller: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game Spread: Tomas Machac (-3.5) vs Alexandre Muller (+3.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Tomas Machac: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [Alexandre Muller: 47.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

Volume$222.90

Markets16

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POLYMARKET

Jinan: Completed Match: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Jinan: Completed Match: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

POLYMARKET

Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

POLYMARKET

Tomas Machac vs. Alexandre Muller: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Tomas Machac vs. Alexandre Muller: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Alexandre Muller in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under" othe

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Oct 19, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/39t36V" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller"></iframe>

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Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

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Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

Markets (16)

Jinan: Completed Match: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

Jinan: Completed Match: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

Set 1 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

Set 1 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

Set 2 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

Set 2 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

Tomas Machac vs. Alexandre Muller: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Tomas Machac vs. Alexandre Muller: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

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Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

Jinan: Completed Match: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

Jinan: Completed Match: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

Set 1 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

Set 1 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

Set 2 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

Set 2 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller

Tomas Machac vs. Alexandre Muller: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Tomas Machac vs. Alexandre Muller: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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