Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 9:10 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

Name: # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
End: 2026-12-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$733.25

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

Vol

$733.25

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $733.25

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $733.25

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Poly	24%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	Poly	21%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Poly	19%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Poly	16%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	Poly	15%
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	Poly	6%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 60 million views on day 1?	Poly	6%
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?	Poly	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

24%

Top Probability

$733.25

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range br

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 1, 2026 (49 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range br

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $733
* **Total Liquidity:** $17.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.04)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $236
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $497
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 60 million views on day 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture