Market snapshot: Oct 14, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

How much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?

Name: How much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?
End: 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$95.28K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

How much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?

Vol

$95.28K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $95.28K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $95.28K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Over $140B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Over $140B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?	Poly	69%
Over $160B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?	Poly	63%
Over $180B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?	Poly	59%
Over $200B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?	Poly	24%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

69%

Top Probability

$95.28K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount wagered on U.S. sports betting in 2026 is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be Legal Sports Report (https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting-states/revenue/), using the “U.S. sports betting revenue by month” table. The annual data will be calculated by summing the values in the “Handle” column for all months in 2026 once the relevant information is available

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, October 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (80 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount wagered on U.S. sports betting in 2026 is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be Legal Sports Report (https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting-states/revenue/), using the “U.S. sports betting revenue by month” table. The annual data will be calculated by summing the values in the “Handle” column for all months in 2026 once the relevant information is available

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount wagered on U.S. sports betting in 2026 is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be Legal Sports Report (https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting-states/revenue/), u"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $95.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $280
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 339.96)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Over $140B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $16.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 68.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.4% (0.0%)]

### 2. Over $160B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $36.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 62.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.3% (0.0%)]

### 3. Over $180B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $21.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Over $200B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $21.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports