Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama

Total Volume

$7.42K

Events

Markets

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Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama

Vol

$7.42K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $7.42K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.42K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Sandra Hüller be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Sandra Hüller be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	86%
Will Virginie Efira be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	85%
Will Renate Reinsve be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	74%
Will Ruth Madeley be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	61%
Will Jeon Do-yeon be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	34%
Will Daisy Edgar-Jones be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	22%
Will Léa Seydoux be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	22%
Will Mathilde Arcel be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	8%
Will Carrie Coon be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	8%
Will Inde Navarrette be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

86%

Top Probability

$7.42K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

84th Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama If X is on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Nominees for the 84th The Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 84th Golden Globe Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 84th Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama

If X is on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Nominees for the 84th The Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 84th Golden Globe Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Virginie Efira is on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th The Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliat"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Virginie Efira be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $457
  DATA: [Yes: 84.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Sandra Hüller be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Renate Reinsve be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $770
  DATA: [Yes: 74.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Ruth Madeley be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 61.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Mathilde Arcel be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Léa Seydoux be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Jeon Do-yeon be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Inde Navarrette be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Daisy Edgar-Jones be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $201
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Carrie Coon be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama

Volume$7.42K

Markets10

10 of 10

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KALSHI

Will Sandra Hüller be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 85.5¢No 14.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Sandra Hüller be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Sandra Hüller is on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th The Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliate

KALSHI

Will Virginie Efira be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 84.5¢No 15.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Virginie Efira be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Virginie Efira is on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th The Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliat

KALSHI

Will Renate Reinsve be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 74.0¢No 26.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Renate Reinsve be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Renate Reinsve is on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th The Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliat

KALSHI

Will Ruth Madeley be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 61.0¢No 39.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Ruth Madeley be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Ruth Madeley is on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th The Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated

KALSHI

Will Jeon Do-yeon be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 34.0¢No 66.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jeon Do-yeon be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Jeon Do-yeon is on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th The Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated

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40¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/3IxRRc" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama"></iframe>

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Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama

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Will Sandra Hüller be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

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About This Event

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Events (1)

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama

Markets (10)

Will Sandra Hüller be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Sandra Hüller be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Virginie Efira be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Virginie Efira be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Renate Reinsve be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Renate Reinsve be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Ruth Madeley be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Ruth Madeley be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Jeon Do-yeon be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Jeon Do-yeon be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

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Will Sandra Hüller be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama

Will Sandra Hüller be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Sandra Hüller be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Virginie Efira be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Virginie Efira be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Renate Reinsve be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Renate Reinsve be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Ruth Madeley be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Ruth Madeley be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Jeon Do-yeon be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Jeon Do-yeon be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

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