GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Lost Weekend: First Week Album Equivalent Units

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Lost Weekend: First Week Album Equivalent Units

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

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Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

22 markets tracked

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 3000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(22)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 3000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	98%
Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 6000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	97%
Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 9000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	96%
Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 12000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	93%
Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 15000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	92%
Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 18000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	88%
Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 21000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	86%
Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 24000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	79%
Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 27000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	75%
Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 30000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	74%
Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 35000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	68%
Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 40000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	65%
Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 45000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	60%
Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 50000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	58%
Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 60000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	57%
Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 55000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	57%
Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 70000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	44%
Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 80000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	40%
Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 90000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	38%
Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 100000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	35%
Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 110000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	34%
Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 120000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?	Kalshi	27%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$0.00

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About This Event

Lost Weekend | August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 If Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers has above X Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This market pertains to the U.S. and will resolve on the Sunday immediately following the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week. Luminate Data, LLC is a neutral provider of market metrics which does not endorse, verify or participate in any way in the o

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Lost Weekend: First Week Album Equivalent Units
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Lost Weekend | August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026

If Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers has above X Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This market pertains to the U.S. and will resolve on the Sunday immediately following the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week. Luminate Data, LLC is a neutral provider of market metrics which does not endorse, verify or participate in any way in the o

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers has above 120K Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This market pertains to the U.S. and will resolve on the Sunday immediately following the Aug"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 120000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 110000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 100000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 90000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 80000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 70000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 60000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 55000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 50000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 45000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 40000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 35000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 68.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 9000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 6000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 3000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 30000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 74.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 27000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 75.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 24000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 78.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 21000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 18000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 15000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 92.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 12000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Lost Weekend: First Week Album Equivalent Units

Volume$0.00

Markets22

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KALSHI

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 3000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHICulture

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 3000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

If Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers has above 3K Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This market pertains to the U.S. and will resolve on the Sunday immediately following the Augus

KALSHI

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 6000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHICulture

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 6000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

If Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers has above 6K Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This market pertains to the U.S. and will resolve on the Sunday immediately following the Augus

KALSHI

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 9000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHICulture

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 9000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

If Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers has above 9K Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This market pertains to the U.S. and will resolve on the Sunday immediately following the Augus

KALSHI

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 12000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.0¢No 7.0¢

KALSHICulture

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 12000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

If Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers has above 12K Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This market pertains to the U.S. and will resolve on the Sunday immediately following the Augu

KALSHI

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 15000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.0¢No 8.0¢

KALSHICulture

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 15000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

If Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers has above 15K Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This market pertains to the U.S. and will resolve on the Sunday immediately following the Augu

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66¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/3Q1J77" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Lost Weekend: First Week Album Equivalent Units"></iframe>

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Lost Weekend: First Week Album Equivalent Units

Lost Weekend: First Week Album Equivalent Units

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Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 3000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Lost Weekend: First Week Album Equivalent Units

Markets (22)

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 3000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 3000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 6000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 6000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 9000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 9000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 12000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 12000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 15000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 15000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

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Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 3000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Lost Weekend: First Week Album Equivalent Units

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 3000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 3000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 6000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 6000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 9000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 9000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 12000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 12000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 15000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

Will Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers have above 15000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 14, 2026 - August 20, 2026 tracking week?

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