Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Event GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform2 EventsEntertainment

Grand Theft Auto VI · The Album: First Week Album Equivalent Units

Name: Grand Theft Auto VI · The Album: First Week Album Equivalent Units
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$22.36K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

Grand Theft Auto VI · The Album: First Week Album Equivalent Units

Vol

$22.36K

Events

Markets

Polymarket Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $8.53K

Kalshi

markets · $13.83K

Price Spread

19.5%avg

max 22.5%

Price gaps

of 2 cross-platform

Calculate

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $22.36K

38%

62%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

22 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Related contracts

The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 100000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?"; listed deadline 2026-12-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will \"GTA VI: The Album\" first week sales be at least 100k?"; listed deadline 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Reviewed: Wed, 14 Oct 2026 16:04:47 GMT

Review notes

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Grand Theft Auto VI · The Album: First Week Album Equivalent Units". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-12-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "'GTA VI: The Album' First Week Sales?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 100k?

Price difference

No data available

Cross-Platform Comparison(2)

Market	Polymarket	Kalshi	Diff
Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 100k?DIFF Related contracts	40%	56%	17%
Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 200k?DIFF Related contracts	26%	49%	22%

Single-Platform Markets(20)

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$22.36K

Volume

Markets

12.7%

Price Gap

About This Event

Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album | November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 If Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI has above X Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This event pertains to the U.S. and will resolve based on the value reported by Luminate’s API as of 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week. Luminate Dat

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, October 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Grand Theft Auto VI · The Album: First Week Album Equivalent Units
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album | November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026

If Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI has above X Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This event pertains to the U.S. and will resolve based on the value reported by Luminate’s API as of 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week. Luminate Dat

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI has above 100K Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This event pertains to the U.S. and will resolve based on the value "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $22.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $809
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 27.65)
* **Platform Split:** Polymarket (4 mkts) vs Kalshi (20 mkts)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 100000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $945
  DATA: [Yes: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.0% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $4.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 16.5% spread between platforms.

### 2. Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 200000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $568
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $289
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 22.5% spread between platforms.

### 3. Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 80000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $604
  DATA: [Yes: 88.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 60000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 40000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $673
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 400000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $733
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 380000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $285
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 360000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $250
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 340000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $165
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 320000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $247
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 300000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $447
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 280000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $275
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 260000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $350
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 240000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $415
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 220000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $206
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 20000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $743
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 180000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $252
  DATA: [Yes: 60.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 160000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $546
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 140000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 120000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 25k?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $468
  DATA: [Yes: 84.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 50k?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Rules & Resolution

Differs

Saved matching review

Related contracts: 2 pairs

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

Review notes

Saved notes may describe earlier contract terms. Use the pair status above and current provider rules.

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

KALSHIEntertainment

Grand Theft Auto VI · The Album: First Week Album Equivalent Units

Volume$13.83K

Markets20

POLYMARKETCulture

'GTA VI: The Album' First Week Sales?

"Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album" (Rockstar Games / Atlantic Records) is expected to release November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the debut week sales for "Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album", according to Hits Daily Double, are greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the album has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the

Volume$8.53K

Markets4

22 of 22

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 20000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHICulture

Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 20000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?

If Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI has above 20K Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This event pertains to the U.S. and will resolve based on the value r

KALSHI

Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 40000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.0¢No 5.0¢

KALSHICulture

Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 40000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?

If Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI has above 40K Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This event pertains to the U.S. and will resolve based on the value r

KALSHI

Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 60000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.0¢No 11.0¢

KALSHICulture

Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 60000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?

If Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI has above 60K Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This event pertains to the U.S. and will resolve based on the value r

KALSHI

Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 80000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.5¢No 11.5¢

KALSHICulture

Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 80000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?

If Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI has above 80K Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This event pertains to the U.S. and will resolve based on the value r

POLYMARKET

Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 25k?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 84.5¢No 15.5¢

POLYMARKETCulture

Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 25k?

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Next Market Deadline

Calculating time remaining…

Dec 03, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Saved price pairs

Largest saved gap: 22.5 percentage points.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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