GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US shelter CPI in June

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US shelter CPI in June

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Polymarket

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Kalshi

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max 0.0%

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11 markets tracked

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.0?

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Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.0?	Kalshi	100%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.2?	Kalshi	97%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.4?	Kalshi	92%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.6?	Kalshi	88%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.8?	Kalshi	84%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 429.0?	Kalshi	74%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 429.2?	Kalshi	59%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 429.4?	Kalshi	39%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 429.6?	Kalshi	24%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 430.0?	Kalshi	1%
Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 429.8?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

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About This Event

June 2026 If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SAH1: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US shelter CPI in June
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** June 2026

If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SAH1: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 is above 430.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SAH1: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average, which"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 430.0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 429.8?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 429.6?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 429.4?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 429.2?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 429.0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.8?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 84.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.6?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.4?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.2?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

US shelter CPI in June

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KALSHI

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.0?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.0?

If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 is above 428.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SAH1: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average, which

KALSHI

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.2?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.0¢No 3.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.2?

If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 is above 428.2, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SAH1: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average, which

KALSHI

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.4?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.4?

If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 is above 428.4, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SAH1: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average, which

KALSHI

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.6?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.0¢No 12.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.6?

If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 is above 428.6, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SAH1: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average, which

KALSHI

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.8?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 84.0¢No 16.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.8?

If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 is above 428.8, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SAH1: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average, which

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Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.0?

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Events (1)

US shelter CPI in June

Markets (11)

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.0?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.0?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.2?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.2?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.4?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.4?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.6?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.6?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.8?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.8?

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Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.0?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

US shelter CPI in June

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.0?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.0?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.2?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.2?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.4?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.4?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.6?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.6?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.8?

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above 428.8?

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