Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?

Total Volume

$207.32

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Markets

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Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?

Vol

$207.32

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $207.32

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $207.32

100%

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9 markets tracked

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 275 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 275 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?	Kalshi	95%
Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 300 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?	Kalshi	91%
Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 325 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?	Kalshi	86%
Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 350 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?	Kalshi	80%
Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 375 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?	Kalshi	21%
Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 400 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?	Kalshi	16%
Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 425 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?	Kalshi	13%
Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 450 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?	Kalshi	9%
Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 475 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

95%

Top Probability

$207.32

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027) If the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report is above X days for Fiscal Year 2027, July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)

If the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report is above X days for Fiscal Year 2027, July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report is above 475 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027), then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $207
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 475 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 450 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 425 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 400 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 375 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 350 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 30, 2027): Vol $207
  DATA: [Yes: 80.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 325 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 300 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 275 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?

Volume$207.32

Markets9

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KALSHI

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 275 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.0¢No 5.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 275 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

If the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report is above 275 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 300 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.5¢No 9.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 300 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

If the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report is above 300 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 325 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 85.5¢No 14.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 325 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

If the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report is above 325 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 350 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 80.0¢No 20.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 350 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

If the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report is above 350 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 375 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 375 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

If the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report is above 375 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.

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46¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/SUvN7e" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?"></iframe>

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Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?

Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?

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Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 275 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

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Events (1)

Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?

Markets (9)

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 275 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 275 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 300 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 300 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 325 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 325 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 350 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 350 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 375 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 375 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

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Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 275 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 275 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 275 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 300 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 300 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 325 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 325 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 350 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 350 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 375 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 375 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?

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