Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 9:10 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Virginia vs SMU: 1st Half Spread

Total Volume

$22.74

Events

Markets

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Virginia vs SMU: 1st Half Spread

Vol

$22.74

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $22.74

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $22.74

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

21 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

SMU wins 1H by over 2.5 points

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
SMU wins 1H by over 2.5 points	Kalshi	65%
SMU wins 1H by over 3.5 points	Kalshi	60%
SMU wins 1H by over 4.5 points	Kalshi	56%
Virginia wins 1H by over 2.5 points	Kalshi	50%
Virginia wins 1H by over 9.5 points	Kalshi	50%
SMU wins 1H by over 6.5 points	Kalshi	50%
SMU wins 1H by over 17.5 points	Kalshi	48%
SMU wins 1H by over 20.5 points	Kalshi	46%
SMU wins 1H by over 7.5 points	Kalshi	44%
SMU wins 1H by over 23.5 points	Kalshi	41%
SMU wins 1H by over 9.5 points	Kalshi	39%
SMU wins 1H by over 10.5 points	Kalshi	35%
SMU wins 1H by over 13.5 points	Kalshi	28%
SMU wins 1H by over 14.5 points	Kalshi	22%
Virginia wins 1H by over 3.5 points	Kalshi	20%
Virginia wins 1H by over 4.5 points	Kalshi	19%
Virginia wins 1H by over 6.5 points	Kalshi	18%
Virginia wins 1H by over 7.5 points	Kalshi	16%
Virginia wins 1H by over 10.5 points	Kalshi	14%
Virginia wins 1H by over 13.5 points	Kalshi	13%
Virginia wins 1H by over 14.5 points	Kalshi	13%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

65%

Top Probability

$22.74

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

UVA vs SMU (Oct 17) If Virginia wins by more than X points in the 1st half of the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Virginia vs SMU: 1st Half Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** UVA vs SMU (Oct 17)

If Virginia wins by more than X points in the 1st half of the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Virginia wins by more than 7.5 points in the 1st half of the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $23
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Virginia wins 1H by over 7.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Virginia wins 1H by over 6.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Virginia wins 1H by over 4.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Virginia wins 1H by over 3.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Virginia wins 1H by over 2.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Virginia wins 1H by over 14.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Virginia wins 1H by over 13.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Virginia wins 1H by over 10.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Virginia wins 1H by over 9.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. SMU wins 1H by over 7.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. SMU wins 1H by over 6.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $23
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. SMU wins 1H by over 4.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. SMU wins 1H by over 3.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. SMU wins 1H by over 2.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. SMU wins 1H by over 23.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. SMU wins 1H by over 20.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. SMU wins 1H by over 17.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. SMU wins 1H by over 14.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. SMU wins 1H by over 13.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. SMU wins 1H by over 10.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. SMU wins 1H by over 9.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Virginia vs SMU: 1st Half Spread

Volume$22.74

Markets21

21 of 21

Sort:

KALSHI

SMU wins 1H by over 2.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 65.0¢No 35.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

SMU wins 1H by over 2.5 points

If SMU wins by more than 2.5 points in the 1st half of the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begin

KALSHI

SMU wins 1H by over 3.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 60.0¢No 40.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

SMU wins 1H by over 3.5 points

If SMU wins by more than 3.5 points in the 1st half of the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begin

KALSHI

SMU wins 1H by over 4.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 56.0¢No 44.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

SMU wins 1H by over 4.5 points

If SMU wins by more than 4.5 points in the 1st half of the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begin

KALSHI

Virginia wins 1H by over 2.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Virginia wins 1H by over 2.5 points

If Virginia wins by more than 2.5 points in the 1st half of the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but

KALSHI

Virginia wins 1H by over 9.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Virginia wins 1H by over 9.5 points

If Virginia wins by more than 9.5 points in the 1st half of the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but

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Next Market Deadline

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Oct 19, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Saved price pairs

No exact saved pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/3WGH1r" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Virginia vs SMU: 1st Half Spread"></iframe>

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Virginia vs SMU: 1st Half Spread

Virginia vs SMU: 1st Half Spread

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

SMU wins 1H by over 2.5 points

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Virginia vs SMU: 1st Half Spread

Markets (21)

SMU wins 1H by over 2.5 points

SMU wins 1H by over 2.5 points

SMU wins 1H by over 3.5 points

SMU wins 1H by over 3.5 points

SMU wins 1H by over 4.5 points

SMU wins 1H by over 4.5 points

Virginia wins 1H by over 2.5 points

Virginia wins 1H by over 2.5 points

Virginia wins 1H by over 9.5 points

Virginia wins 1H by over 9.5 points

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

SMU wins 1H by over 2.5 points

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Virginia vs SMU: 1st Half Spread

SMU wins 1H by over 2.5 points

SMU wins 1H by over 2.5 points

SMU wins 1H by over 3.5 points

SMU wins 1H by over 3.5 points

SMU wins 1H by over 4.5 points

SMU wins 1H by over 4.5 points

Virginia wins 1H by over 2.5 points

Virginia wins 1H by over 2.5 points

Virginia wins 1H by over 9.5 points

Virginia wins 1H by over 9.5 points

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