Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Will GTA 6 break the record for the highest-grossing videogame in 24 hours?

Total Volume

$4.54K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Will GTA 6 break the record for the highest-grossing videogame in 24 hours?

Vol

$4.54K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $4.54K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.54K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will GTA 6 break the record for the highest-grossing videogame in 24 hours?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will GTA 6 break the record for the highest-grossing videogame in 24 hours?	Kalshi	90%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

90%

Top Probability

$4.54K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

the all-time 24-hour videogame revenue record If GTA 6 breaks the highest-grossing videogame in 24 hours record in 2026, the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the Guinness World Records title “Highest grossing videogame in 24 hours.” The relevant period is the videogame’s first 24 hours following its initial official release. Grand Theft Auto V currently holds this record. Grand Theft Auto V, developed by Rockstar Games, sold 11.21 million copies and grossed $815.7 million worldwid

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will GTA 6 break the record for the highest-grossing videogame in 24 hours?
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** the all-time 24-hour videogame revenue record

If GTA 6 breaks the highest-grossing videogame in 24 hours record in 2026, the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the Guinness World Records title “Highest grossing videogame in 24 hours.” The relevant period is the videogame’s first 24 hours following its initial official release. Grand Theft Auto V currently holds this record.

Grand Theft Auto V, developed by Rockstar Games, sold 11.21 million copies and grossed $815.7 million worldwid

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If GTA 6 breaks the highest-grossing videogame in 24 hours record in 2026, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the Guinness World Records title “Highest grossing videogame in 24 hours.” The relevant period is the videogame’s first 24 hours following its initial officia"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will GTA 6 break the record for the highest-grossing videogame in 24 hours?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 1, 2027): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment