Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? | PredictPedia

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Event GroupKALSHICompanies

Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

Total Volume

$37.13K

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Markets

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Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

Vol

$37.13K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $37.13K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $37.13K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2026?	Kalshi	10%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

10%

Top Probability

$37.13K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before 2027 If Elon Musk is no longer CEO of Tesla by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
**Category:** Companies | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2027

If Elon Musk is no longer CEO of Tesla by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Elon Musk is no longer CEO of Tesla by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $37.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.66M
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $37.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

10¢

Kalshi

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/3auPy1" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?"></iframe>

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Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

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Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2026?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)