Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Cardiff vs Watford

Total Volume

$383.47

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Cardiff vs Watford

Vol

$383.47

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $383.47

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $383.47

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Cardiff wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Cardiff wins	Kalshi	57%
Tie is the result	Kalshi	22%
Watford wins	Kalshi	21%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

57%

Top Probability

$383.47

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

CAR vs WAT (Oct 13) If X wins the Cardiff vs Watford professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Cardiff vs Watford professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the market cal

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Cardiff vs Watford
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** CAR vs WAT (Oct 13)

If X wins the Cardiff vs Watford professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Cardiff vs Watford professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the market cal

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Watford wins the Cardiff vs Watford professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Cardiff vs Watfo"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $383
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Watford wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $7
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Tie is the result
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Cardiff wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $376
  DATA: [Yes: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Cardiff vs Watford

Volume$383.47

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

KALSHI

Cardiff wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 57.5¢No 42.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Cardiff wins

If Cardiff wins the Cardiff vs Watford professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Cardiff vs Watfo

KALSHI

Tie is the result

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 21.5¢No 78.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Tie is the result

If Tie is the result of the Cardiff vs Watford professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Cardiff

KALSHI

Watford wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Watford wins

If Watford wins the Cardiff vs Watford professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Cardiff vs Watfo

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Average Yes Price

33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/3cJaZa" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Cardiff vs Watford"></iframe>

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Cardiff vs Watford

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Cardiff wins

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Cardiff vs Watford

Markets (3)

Cardiff wins

Cardiff wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

Watford wins

Watford wins

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Cardiff wins

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Cardiff vs Watford

Cardiff wins

Cardiff wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

Watford wins

Watford wins

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