Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Vegas vs Minnesota: First Goalscorer

Total Volume

$28.93K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Vegas vs Minnesota: First Goalscorer

Vol

$28.93K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $28.93K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $28.93K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

36 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Parker Wotherspoon: First Goalscorer

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(36)

Market	Platform	Price
Parker Wotherspoon: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	7%
Kirill Kaprizov: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	6%
Matt Boldy: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	4%
Mark Stone: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	3%
Mitch Marner: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	3%
Jack Eichel: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	3%
Joel Eriksson Ek: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	3%
Tomas Hertl: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	3%
Blake Coleman: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	3%
Trevor Connelly: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	2%
Ivan Barbashev: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	2%
Brett Howden: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	2%
Ryan Hartman: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	2%
Max Shabanov: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	2%
Danila Yurov: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	2%
Rieger Lorenz: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	2%
William Karlsson: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	2%
Shea Theodore: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	2%
Noah Hanifin: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	2%
Braeden Bowman: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	2%
Quinn Hughes: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	2%
David Spacek: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	2%
Bobby Brink: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	2%
Raphael Lavoie: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	1%
Rasmus Andersson: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	1%
Nic Dowd: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	1%
Marc Gatcomb: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	1%
Yakov Trenin: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	1%
Michael McCarron: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	1%
Jeremy Lauzon: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	1%
Brayden McNabb: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	1%
Olli Maatta: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	1%
Nico Sturm: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	1%
Jared Spurgeon: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	1%
Jonas Brodin: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	1%
Daemon Hunt: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$28.93K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

VGK vs MIN (Oct 12) If X scores the 1st goal in the Vegas vs Minnesota NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to a player in the Vegas vs Minnesota NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the game, the market settles to the last fair market price before game start. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Vegas vs Minnesota: First Goalscorer
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** VGK vs MIN (Oct 12)

If X scores the 1st goal in the Vegas vs Minnesota NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to a player in the Vegas vs Minnesota NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the game, the market settles to the last fair market price before game start. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Rieger Lorenz scores the 1st goal in the Vegas vs Minnesota NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the Vegas vs Minnesota NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026. If a player is active but"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $28.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Rieger Lorenz: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $75
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. William Karlsson: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $156
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Tomas Hertl: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $160
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Trevor Connelly: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $117
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Shea Theodore: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Raphael Lavoie: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Rasmus Andersson: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $47
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Parker Wotherspoon: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $234
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Noah Hanifin: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Nic Dowd: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Mark Stone: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $605
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Mitch Marner: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Marc Gatcomb: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Jeremy Lauzon: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $935
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Jack Eichel: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Ivan Barbashev: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $199
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Brayden McNabb: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Brett Howden: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $463
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Braeden Bowman: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $156
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Yakov Trenin: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $23
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Ryan Hartman: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Quinn Hughes: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Olli Maatta: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $94
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Nico Sturm: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Max Shabanov: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $945
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Michael McCarron: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $257
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Matt Boldy: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Kirill Kaprizov: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $4.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Jared Spurgeon: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Joel Eriksson Ek: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $929
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Jonas Brodin: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $561
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Danila Yurov: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $98
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. David Spacek: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $328
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Daemon Hunt: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 35. Blake Coleman: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 36. Bobby Brink: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $231
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Vegas vs Minnesota: First Goalscorer

Volume$28.93K

Markets36

36 of 36

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KALSHI

Parker Wotherspoon: First Goalscorer

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Parker Wotherspoon: First Goalscorer

If Parker Wotherspoon scores the 1st goal in the Vegas vs Minnesota NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the Vegas vs Minnesota NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026. If a player is activ

KALSHI

Kirill Kaprizov: First Goalscorer

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Kirill Kaprizov: First Goalscorer

If Kirill Kaprizov scores the 1st goal in the Vegas vs Minnesota NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the Vegas vs Minnesota NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026. If a player is active b

KALSHI

Matt Boldy: First Goalscorer

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Matt Boldy: First Goalscorer

If Matt Boldy scores the 1st goal in the Vegas vs Minnesota NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the Vegas vs Minnesota NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026. If a player is active but ne

KALSHI

Mark Stone: First Goalscorer

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Mark Stone: First Goalscorer

If Mark Stone scores the 1st goal in the Vegas vs Minnesota NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the Vegas vs Minnesota NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026. If a player is active but ne

KALSHI

Mitch Marner: First Goalscorer

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Mitch Marner: First Goalscorer

If Mitch Marner scores the 1st goal in the Vegas vs Minnesota NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the Vegas vs Minnesota NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026. If a player is active but

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2¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/3hHFFW" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Vegas vs Minnesota: First Goalscorer"></iframe>

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Vegas vs Minnesota: First Goalscorer

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Parker Wotherspoon: First Goalscorer

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Vegas vs Minnesota: First Goalscorer

Markets (36)

Parker Wotherspoon: First Goalscorer

Parker Wotherspoon: First Goalscorer

Kirill Kaprizov: First Goalscorer

Kirill Kaprizov: First Goalscorer

Matt Boldy: First Goalscorer

Matt Boldy: First Goalscorer

Mark Stone: First Goalscorer

Mark Stone: First Goalscorer

Mitch Marner: First Goalscorer

Mitch Marner: First Goalscorer

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Parker Wotherspoon: First Goalscorer

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Vegas vs Minnesota: First Goalscorer

Parker Wotherspoon: First Goalscorer

Parker Wotherspoon: First Goalscorer

Kirill Kaprizov: First Goalscorer

Kirill Kaprizov: First Goalscorer

Matt Boldy: First Goalscorer

Matt Boldy: First Goalscorer

Mark Stone: First Goalscorer

Mark Stone: First Goalscorer

Mitch Marner: First Goalscorer

Mitch Marner: First Goalscorer

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