Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 9:10 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

333: Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita

Total Volume

$0.00

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333: Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

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Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

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2 markets tracked

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Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Aaron Pico wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Aaron Pico wins	Kalshi	53%
Losene Keita wins	Kalshi	49%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

53%

Top Probability

$0.00

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About This Event

Pico vs Keita (Oct 24) If X wins the Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is po

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** 333: Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Pico vs Keita (Oct 24)

If X wins the Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is po

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Aaron Pico  wins the Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be consider"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Aaron Pico wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Losene Keita wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

333: Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita

Volume$0.00

Markets2

2 of 2

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KALSHI

Aaron Pico wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢

KALSHISports

Aaron Pico wins

If Aaron Pico wins the Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be consider

KALSHI

Losene Keita wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢

KALSHISports

Losene Keita wins

If Losene Keita wins the Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be consid

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Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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No exact saved pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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333: Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita

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Aaron Pico wins

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Events (1)

333: Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita

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Aaron Pico wins

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Losene Keita wins

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Aaron Pico wins

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333: Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita

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