Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Name: North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
End: 2026-10-25T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$403.19

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Markets

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North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Vol

$403.19

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $403.19

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $403.19

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will Anna Kindy win the next North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Anna Kindy win the next North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Poly	72%
Will Sara Lopez win the next North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Poly	18%
Will Richard Lambert win the next North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Poly	3%
Will Benjamin Olsson win the next North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

72%

Top Probability

$403.19

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

General elections to elect all 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a con

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 25, 2026 (14 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** General elections to elect all 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a con

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"General elections to elect all 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly election for a full term beginning in O"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $403
* **Total Liquidity:** $46.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Sara Lopez win the next North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Anna Kindy win the next North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $270
  DATA: [Yes: 71.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Richard Lambert win the next North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $65
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Benjamin Olsson win the next North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $67
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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